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Keyword: species distribution model

Southwestern white pine (Pinus strobiformis) species distribution models project a large range shift and contraction due to regional climatic changes

Publications Posted on: November 19, 2018
Southwestern white pine (Pinus strobiformis; SWWP) is a conifer species that occurs at mid to high elevations in the mountains of Arizona, New Mexico, and northern Mexico. A key component of mixed conifer forests in the region, SWWP is an important species for wildlife and biodiversity.

A conservation planning tool for Greater Sage-grouse using indices of species distribution, resilience, and resistance

Publications Posted on: July 10, 2018
Managers require quantitative yet tractable tools that identify areas for restoration yielding effective benefits for targeted wildlife species and the ecosystems they inhabit.

Misleading prioritizations from modelling range shifts under climate change

Publications Posted on: June 12, 2018
Conservation planning requires the prioritization of a subset of taxa and geographical locations to focus monitoring and management efforts. Integration of the threats and opportunities posed by climate change often relies on predictions from species distribution models, particularly for assessments of vulnerability or invasion risk for multiple taxa.

Big biology meets microclimatology: Defining thermal niches of ectotherms at landscape scales for conservation planning

Publications Posted on: January 30, 2017
Temperature profoundly affects ecology, a fact ever more evident as the ability to measure thermal environments increases and global changes alter these environments. The spatial structure of thermalscapes is especially relevant to the distribution and abundance of ectothermic organisms but the ability to describe biothermal relationships at extents and grains relevant to conservation planning has been limited by small or sparse datasets.

Potential breeding distributions of U.S. birds predicted with both short-term variability and long-term average climate data

Publications Posted on: December 13, 2016
Climate conditions, such as temperature or precipitation, averaged over several decades strongly affect species distributions, as evidenced by experimental results and a plethora of models demonstrating statistical relations between species occurrences and long-term climate averages.

Bromus response to climate and projected changes with climate change [Chapter 9]

Publications Posted on: March 22, 2016
A prominent goal of invasive plant management is to prevent or reduce the spread of invasive species into uninvaded landscapes and regions. Monitoring and control efforts often rely on scientific knowledge of suitable habitat for the invasive species. However, rising temperatures and altered precipitation projected with climate change are likely to shift the geographic range of that suitable habitat.

Species distribution of uncertainty

Documents and Media Posted on: January 23, 2015
Concern over implications of climate change for biodiversity has led to the use of bioclimatic models to forecast range shifts of species under future climate-change scenarios. Forecast of species distributions under future climates are inherently uncertain, but there have been few attempts to understand and describe this uncertainty. Key Findings:Document Type: Briefing Papers

Modeling the effects of dispersal and patch size on predicted fisher (Pekania [Martes] pennanti) distribution in the U.S. Rocky Mountains

Publications Posted on: December 09, 2013
Climate change impacts many species through shifts in habitat. The intensity of this impact will depend on the dispersal rates of the species, the patchiness of the environment, and the velocity of habitat change. Here we examine how dispersal affects projected future habitat availability for a threatened carnivore, the fisher (Pekania [Martes] pennanti).

Probabilistic accounting of uncertainty in forecasts of species distributions under climate change

Publications Posted on: August 27, 2013
Forecasts of species distributions under future climates are inherently uncertain, but there have been few attempts to describe this uncertainty comprehensively in a probabilistic manner.

Incorporating remotely sensed tree canopy cover data into broad scale assessments of wildlife habitat distribution and conservation

Publications Posted on: February 12, 2010
Remote sensing provides critical information for broad scale assessments of wildlife habitat distribution and conservation. However, such efforts have been typically unable to incorporate information about vegetation structure, a variable important for explaining the distribution of many wildlife species.