You are here

Keyword: model uncertainty

Sources and implications of bias and uncertainty in a century of United States wildfire activity data

Projects Posted on: May 07, 2015
This work provides an overview of sources of data for United States wildfire activity analyses and highlights major reporting biases, inconsistencies, and uncertainty within data source.  

Species distribution of uncertainty

Documents and Media Posted on: January 23, 2015
Concern over implications of climate change for biodiversity has led to the use of bioclimatic models to forecast range shifts of species under future climate-change scenarios. Forecast of species distributions under future climates are inherently uncertain, but there have been few attempts to understand and describe this uncertainty. Key Findings:Document Type: Briefing Papers

Probabilistic accounting of uncertainty in forecasts of species distributions under climate change

Publications Posted on: August 27, 2013
Forecasts of species distributions under future climates are inherently uncertain, but there have been few attempts to describe this uncertainty comprehensively in a probabilistic manner.