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Keyword: fire risk

A world in pixels: How new research is helping to predict probability of high-severity fire

Pages Posted on: August 16, 2018
Another likely record year for wildfire

Protecting the source: Tools to evaluate fuel treatment cost vs. water quality protection

Publications Posted on: October 25, 2016
High-intensity wildfires are one of the leading causes of severe soil erosion in western U.S. watersheds. This erosion can lead to disruptive deposits of sediment in reservoirs and water supply systems. Fuel treatments such as controlled burns and forest thinning can reduce wildfire intensity and help preserve topsoil.

Fire evolution in the radioactive forests of Ukraine and Belarus: future risks for the population and the environment

Publications Posted on: October 07, 2016
In this paper, we analyze the current and future status of forests in Ukraine and Belarus that were contaminated after the nuclear disaster in 1986. Using several models, together with remote-sensing data and observations, we studied how climate change in these forests may affect fire regimes.

Evaluating proposed fuel treatment effectiveness in the Upper Tenmile Watershed

Projects Posted on: July 25, 2016
In April, 2015 the Helena National Forest (HNF) requested that the Fire Modeling Institute conduct a wildfire probability modeling and risk assessment study to analyze proposed fuel treatments in the project area. The HNF requested this study include modeling the probability of burning, potential fire behavior, and identification of areas where large fires and/or fires potentially destructive to structures were most likely to originate.

Analyzing seasonal patterns of wildfire exposure factors in Sardinia, Italy

Publications Posted on: June 15, 2015
In this paper, we applied landscape scale wildfire simulation modeling to explore the spatiotemporal patterns of wildfire likelihood and intensity in the island of Sardinia (Italy). We also performed wildfire exposure analysis for selected highly valued resources on the island to identify areas characterized by high risk.

Assessing exposure of human and ecological values to wildfire in Sardinia, Italy

Publications Posted on: April 17, 2013
We used simulation modelling to analyze spatial variation in wildfire exposure relative to key social and economic features on the island of Sardinia, Italy. Sardinia contains a high density of urban interfaces, recreational values and highly valued agricultural areas that are increasingly being threatened by severe wildfires. Historical fire data and wildfire simulations were used to estimate burn probabilities, flame length and fire size.

Estimation of wildfire size and risk changes due to fuels treatments

Publications Posted on: August 28, 2012
Human land use practices, altered climates, and shifting forest and fire management policies have increased the frequency of large wildfires several-fold. Mitigation of potential fire behaviour and fire severity have increasingly been attempted through pre-fire alteration of wildland fuels using mechanical treatments and prescribed fires.

Seeking common ground: protecting homes from wildfires while making forests more resilient to fire

Publications Posted on: July 05, 2011
Federal policies direct public-land managers to reduce wildfire risks for urban areas close to wildlands, while broader agency goals call for landscape restoration to create fire-resilient forests.

Simulating forest fuel and fire risk dynamics across landscapes--LANDIS fuel module design

Publications Posted on: March 09, 2007
Understanding fuel dynamics over large spatial (103-106 ha) and temporal scales (101-103 years) is important in comprehensive wildfire management. We present a modeling approach to simulate fuel and fire risk dynamics as well as impacts of alternative fuel treatments. The approach is implemented using the fuel module of an existing spatially explicit forest landscape model, LANDIS.