Current Research

My current research projects include 1) extending climate and ecological output to assess the impacts of climate change in meaningful ways to assist land managers , 2) synthsis of adaptation theory and approaches for rangelands, 3) developing techniques to assess the vulnerability of ecosystems and natural resources at large spatial scales and institutional scales

Research Interests

Working with the climate change projections has raised questions about how to quantify the variability, not just in the climate projections, but also in the projections of the natural resource models that use those climate projections. Understanding that future variability gives us a picture of potential risks related to future climate and climate extremes on forests and rangelands, such as the potential for increased or decreased fire, floods, changes in vegetation types and many other natural resource responses to a changing climate.

Why This Research is Important

Natural resources on forest and rangelands in the United States are affected by disturbances such as wildfire, insects, disease, development by humans, and climate change. Quantifying these influences on natural resources provides information on the future condition of forest and rangelands. This information provides a scientific basis for consideration of the type of ecosystem services that current and future generations could manage for on forest and rangelands.

Education

• Grand Valley State College, B.S. Mathematics 1972
• Miami University, M.S. Environmental Science 1974
• Colorado State University, Ph.D. Range Ecology 1981

Featured Publications & Products

• Briske, David D.; Joyce, Linda A.; Polley, H. Wayne; Brown, Joel R.; Wolter, Klaus; Morgan, Jack A.; McCarl, Bruce A.; Bailey, Derek W. 2015. Climate-change adaptation on rangelands: Linking regional exposure with diverse adaptive capacity.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Price, David T.; Coulson, David P.; McKenney, Daniel W.; Siltanen, R. Martin; Papadopol, Pia; Lawrence, Kevin. 2014. Projecting climate change in the United States: A technical document supporting the Forest Service RPA 2010 Assessment.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Running, Steven W.; Breshears, David D.; Dale, Virginia H.; Malmsheimer, Robert W.; Sampson, R. Neil; Sohngen, Brent; Woodall, Christopher W. 2014. Forests Chapter 7.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Millar, Constance I. 2014. Improving the role of vulnerability assessments In decision support for effective climate adaptation.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Briske, David D.; Brown, Joel R.; Polley, H. Wayne; McCarl, Bruce A.; Bailey, Derek W. 2013. Climate change and North American rangelands: Assessment of mitigation and adaptation strategies.
• Wear, David N.; Joyce, Linda A.; Butler, Bret; Johnson, Cassandra; Stewart, Susan; Nowak, David. 2012. Climate change, human communities, and forests in rural, urban, and wildland-urban interface environments.

Publications

• Joyce, Linda A.; Coulson, David . 2020. Climate scenarios and projections: A technical document supporting the USDA Forest Service 2020 RPA Assessment.
• Langner, Linda L.; Joyce, Linda A.; Wear, David N.; Prestemon, Jeffrey P.; Coulson, David ; O'Dea, Claire B. 2020. Future scenarios: A technical document supporting the USDA Forest Service 2020 RPA Assessment.
• Chambers, Jeanne C.; Evers, Louisa ; Joyce, Linda A. 2019. Climate adaptation Chapter 3.
• Roske, Molly R.; Joyce, Linda A.; Nagel, Linda M.; Peterson, Lara K.; Peterson, Courtney L.; Matonis, Megan . 2019. The Rio Grande National Forest Climate Change Plan Revision Workshop: Designing a science-management collaborative process to address 2012 planning rule climate change concerns at the forest plan scale.
• Halofsky, Jessica E.; Peterson, David L.; Ho, Joanne J.; Little, Natalie, J..; Joyce, Linda A. 2018. Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in the Intermountain Region Part 1.
• Halofsky, Jessica E.; Peterson, David L.; Ho, Joanne J.; Little, Natalie, J..; Joyce, Linda A. 2018. Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in the Intermountain Region Part 2.
• Halofsky, Jessica E.; Peterson, David L.; Dante-Wood, S. Karen; Hoang, Linh; Ho, Joanne J.; Joyce, Linda A. 2018. Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in the Northern Rocky Mountains Part 1.
• Halofsky, Jessica E.; Peterson, David L.; Dante-Wood, S. Karen; Hoang, Linh; Ho, Joanne J.; Joyce, Linda A. 2018. Climate change vulnerability and adaptation in the Northern Rocky Mountains Part 2.
• Rice, Janine R.; Joyce, Linda A.; Regan, Claudia ; Winters, David ; Truex, Rick . 2018. Climate change vulnerability assessment of aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems in the U.S. Forest Service Rocky Mountain Region.
• Timberlake, Thomas ; Joyce, Linda A.; Schultz, Courtney ; Lampman, Georgina . 2018. Design of a workshop process to support consideration of natural range of variation and climate change for land management planning under the 2012 planning rule.
• Vose, J.M. ; Peterson, D.L. ; Domke, G.M. ; Fettig, C.J. ; Joyce, L.A. ; Keane, R.E. ; Luce, C.H. ; Prestemon, J.P ; Band, L.E. ; Clark, J.S. ; Cooley, N.E. ; D’Amato, A. ; Halofsky, J.E. . 2018. Forests.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Talbert, Marian. 2018. Historical and projected climate Chapter 3.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Talbert, Marian; Sharp, Darrin; Morisette, Jeffrey; Stevenson, John. 2018. Historical and projected climate in the Northern Rockies Region Chapter 3.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Bentrup, Gary ; Cheng, Antony S.; Kolb, Peter ; Schoeneberger, Michele ; Derner, Justin . 2018. Native and agricultural forests at risk to a changing climate in the Northern Plains.
• Averyt, Kristen ; Derner, Justin D.; Dilling, Lisa ; Guerrero, Rafael ; Joyce, Linda ; McNeeley, Shannon ; McNie, Elizabeth ; Morisette, Jeffrey ; Ojima, Dennis ; O'Malley, Robin ; Peck, Dannele ; Ray, Andrea J.; Reeves, Matt ; Travis, William . 2018. Regional climate response collaboratives: Multi-institutional support for climate resilience.
• Cooke, Brian ; Battaglia, Mike ; Dwire, Kathleen ; Isaak, Dan ; Joyce, Linda ; Merritt, David ; Oropeza, Jill ; Regan, Claudia ; Reynolds, Lindsay ; Rice, Janine ; Schillie, Trey . 2018. Warming and warnings: Assessing climate change vulnerability in the Rocky Mountain Region.
• Nagel, Linda M.; Palik, Brian J.; Battaglia, Michael A.; D'Amato, Anthony W.; Guldin, James M.; Swanston, Christopher W.; Janowiak, Maria K.; Powers, Matthew P.; Joyce, Linda A.; Millar, Constance I; Peterson, David L.; Ganio, Lisa M.; Kirschbaum, Chad ; Roske, Molly R. 2017. Adaptive Silviculture for Climate Change: A National Experiment in Manager-Scientist Partnerships to Apply an Adaptation Framework.
• Rice, Janine; Bardsley, Tim; Gomben, Pete; Bambrough, Dustin; Weems, Stacey; Huber, Allen; Joyce, Linda A. 2017. Assessment of aspen ecosystem vulnerability to climate change for the Uinta-Wasatch-Cache and Ashley National Forests, Utah.
• Rice, Janine; Bardsley, Tim; Gomben, Pete; Bambrough, Dustin; Weems, Stacey; Leahy, Sarah; Plunkett, Christopher; Condrat, Charles; Joyce, Linda A. 2017. Assessment of watershed vulnerability to climate change for the Uinta-Wasatch-Cache and Ashley National Forests, Utah.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Marshall, Nadine A. 2017. Managing climate change risks in rangeland systems Chapter 15.
• Chambers, J.C.; Beck, J.L.; Bradford, J.B.; Bybee, J.; Campbell, S.; Carlson, J.; Christiansen, T.J.; Clause, K.J.; Collins, G.; Crist, M.R.; Dinkins, J.B.; Doherty, K.E.; Edwards, F.; Espinosa, S.; Griffin, K.A.; Griffin, P.; Haas, J.R.; Hanser, S.E.; Havlina, D.W.; Henke, K.F.; Hennig, J.D.; Joyce, L.A.; Kilkenny, F.M.; Kulpa, S.M.; Kurth, L.L.; Maestas, J.D.; Manning, M.; Mayer, K.E.; Mealor, B.A.; McCarthy, C.; Pellant, M.; Perea, M.A.; Prentice, K.L.; Pyke, D.A.; Wiechman, L.A.; Wuenschel, A. 2017. Science framework for conservation and restoration of the sagebrush biome: Linking the Department of the Interior s Integrated Rangeland Fire Management Strategy to long-term strategic conservation actions.
• Halofsky, Jessica E.; Peterson, David L.; Joyce, Linda A.; Millar, Constance I.; Rice, Janine M.; Swanston, Christopher W. 2014. Implementing climate change adaptation in forested regions of the United States.
• Hines, Sarah; Brenkert-Smith, Hannah; Champ, Patty; Joyce, Linda; Robichaud, Pete; Ryan-Burkett, Sandra. 2014. Our relationship with a dynamic landscape: Understanding the 2013 Northern Colorado Flood.
• Peterson, David L.; Wolken, J.M.; Hollingsworth, Teresa; Giardina, Christian; Littell, J.S.; Joyce, Linda; Swanston, Chris; Handler, Stephen; Rustad, Lindsey; McNulty, Steve. 2014. Regional Highlights of Climate Change.
• Sturges, Frank; Joyce, Linda; Brown, Tom; Flather, Curt; Mockrin, Miranda; Reeves, Matt. 2013. Coming to a landscape near you: Natural resource changes in the Interior West.
• Rice, Janine; Tredennick, Andrew; Joyce, Linda A. 2012. Climate change on the Shoshone National Forest, Wyoming: a synthesis of past climate, climate projections, and ecosystem implications.
• Daniels, A.E.; Morrison, J.F.; Joyce, L.A.; Crookston, N.L.; Chen, S.C.; McNulty, S.G. 2012. Climate projections FAQ.
• Joyce, Linda A. 2012. The future of our National Forests: Enhancing adaptive capacity.
• Joyce, Linda; Cross, Molly; Girvatz, Evan. 2011. Addressing uncertainty in vulnerability assessments Chapter 5.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Price, David T.; McKenney, Daniel W.; Siltanen, R. Martin; Papadopol, Pia; Lawrence, Kevin; Coulson, David P. 2011. High resolution interpolation of climate scenarios for the conterminous USA and Alaska derived from general circulation model simulations.
• Price, D. T.; McKenney, D. W.; Joyce, L. A.; Siltanen, R. M.; Papadopol, P.; Lawrence, K. 2011. High-resolution interpolation of climate scenarios for Canada derived from general circulation model simulations.
• Peterson, David L.; Millar, Connie I.; Joyce, Linda A.; Furniss, Michael J.; Halofsky, Jessica E.; Neilson, Ronald P.; Morelli, Toni Lyn. 2011. Responding to climate change in national forests: a guidebook for developing adaptation options.
• Halofsky, Jessica E.; Peterson, David L; Furniss, Michael J.; Joyce, Linda A.; Millar, Constance I.; Neilson, Ronald P. 2011. Workshop approach for developing climate change adaptation strategies and actions for natural resource management agencies in the United States.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Fox, William; Geissler, Paul; Heitschmidt, Rodney; Hidinger, Lori; Patten, Duncan; Spence, John; Strong, Laurence L.; Unnasch, Robert; Washington-Allen, Robert A. 2010. Criterion II: Indicators for conservation and maintenance of plant and animal resources on rangelands (Chapter 3).
• Solomon, Allen; Birdsey, Richard A.; Joyce, Linda A. 2010. Forest Service Global Change Research Strategy, 2009-2019 Implementation Plan.
• Furniss, M.J.; Millar, C.I.; Peterson, D.L.; Joyce, L.A.; Neilson, R.P.; Halofsky, J.E.; Kerns, B.K. 2009. Adapting to Climate Change: A Short Course for Land Managers.
• Blate, G. M.; Joyce, L. A.; Littell, J. S.; McNulty, S. G.; Millar, C. I.; Moser, S. C.; Neilson, R. P.; O’Halloran, K.; Peterson, D. L. 2009. Adapting to climate change in United States national forests.
• Bentz, Barbara; Logan, Jesse; MacMahon, Jim; Allen, Craig D.; Ayres, Matt; Berg, Ed; Carroll, Allan; Hansen, Matt; Hicke, Jeff; Joyce, Linda; Macfarlane, Wallace; Munson, Steve; Negron, Jose; Paine, Tim; Powell, Jim; Raffa, Ken; Regniere, Jacques; Reid, Mary; Romme, Bill; Seybold, Steven J.; Six, Diana; Tomback, Diana; Vandygriff, Jim; Veblen, Tom; White, Mike; Witcosky, Jeff; Wood, David. 2009. Bark beetle outbreaks in western North America: Causes and consequences.
• Solomon, Allen; Birdsey, Richard; Joyce, Linda A.; Hayes, Jennifer. 2009. Forest Service Global Change Research Strategy, 2009-2019.
• Osman-Elasha, Balgis; Adger, Neil; Brockhaus, Maria; Colfer, Carol J. Pierce; Sohngen, Brent; Dafalla, Tallaat; Joyce, Linda A.; Johnson, Nkem; Robledo, Carmenza. 2009. Future socio-economic impacts and vulnerabilities.
• Innes, John; Joyce, Linda A.; Kellomaki, Seppo; Louman, Bastiaan; Ogden, Aynslie; Thompson, Ian; Ayres, Matthew; Ong, Chin; Santoso, Heru; Sohngen, Brent; Wreford, Anita. 2009. Management for adaptation.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Blate, Geoffrey M.; McNulty, Steven G.; Millar, Constance I.; Moser, Susanne; Neilson, Ronald P.; Peterson, David L. 2009. Managing for multiple resources under climate change: national forests.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Flather, Curtis H.; Koopman, Marni. 2008. Analysis of potential impacts of climate change on wildlife habitats in the U.S..
• Joyce, Linda A. 2008. Climate change assessments.
• Julius, Susan H.; West, Jordan M.; Blate, Geoffrey M.; Baron, Jill S.; Griffith, Brad; Joyce, Linda A.; Kareiva, Peter; Keller, Brian D.; Palmer, Margaret A.; Peterson, Charles H.; Scott, J. Michael. 2008. Executive summary.
• Joyce, Linda. 2008. Forestry, ecosystems, and wildlife: The differences are in the details.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Blate, Geoffry M.; Littell, Jeremy S.; McNulty, Steven G.; Millar, Constance I.; Moser, Susanne C.; Neilson, Ronald P.; O'Halloran, Kathy; Peterson, David L. 2008. National forests.
• Baron, Jill S.; Julius, Susan Herrod; West, Jordan M.; Joyce, Linda A.; Blate, Geoffrey; Peterson, Charles H.; Palmer, Margaret; Keller, Brian D.; Kareiva, Peter; Scott, J. Michael; Griffith, Brad. 2008. Some guidelines for helping natural resources adapt to climate change.
• Joyce, Linda A. 2007. Chapter 14: The impacts of climate change on forestry.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Peterson, David L. 2006. Climate change and forests.
• Alig, Ralph; Adams, Darius; Joyce, Linda; Sohngen, Brent. 2004. Climate change impacts and adaptation in forestry: responses by trees and markets..
• Omi, Philip N.; Joyce, Linda A. 2003. Fire, fuel treatments, and ecological restoration: Conference proceedings; 2002 16-18 April; Fort Collins, CO.
• Guldin, James M.; Cawrse, David; Graham, Russell; Hemstrom, Miles; Joyce, Linda; Kessler, Steve; McNair, Ranotta; Peterson, George; Shaw, Charles G.; Stine, Peter; Twery, Mark; Walter, Jeffrey. 2003. Science Consistency Reviews A Primer for Application.
• Guldin, James M.; Cawrse, David; Graham, Russell; Hemstrom, Miles; Joyce, Linda; Kessler, Steve; McNair, Ranotta; Peterson, George; Shaw, Charles G.; Stine, Peter; Twery, Mark; Walter, Jeffrey. 2003. The Science Consistency Review A Tool To Evaluate the Use of Scientific Information in Land Management Decisionmaking.
• Coulson, David P.; Joyce, Linda. 2003. United States state-level population estimates: Colonization to 1999.
• Dale, Virginia H.; Joyce, Linda A.; McNulty, Steve; Neilson, Ronald P.; Ayres, Matthew P.; Flannigan, Michael D.; Hanson, Paul J.; Irland, Lloyd C.; Lugo, Ariel E.; Peterson, Chris J.; Simberloff, Daniel; Swanson, Frederick J.; Stocks, Brian J.; Wotton, Michael. 2001. Climate change and forest disturbances.
• Joyce, Linda; Aber, John; McNulty, Steve; Dale, virginia; Hansen, Andrew; Irland, Lloyd; Neilson, Ron; Skog, Kenneth. 2001. Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the forests of the United States.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Nungesser, Martha. 2000. Ecosystem productivity and the impact of climate change.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Birdsey, Richard. 2000. Overview: assessing the impacts of climate change on U.S. forests.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Birdsey, Richard. 2000. The impact of climate change on America's forests.
• Dale, Virginia H.; Joyce, Linda A.; McNulty, Steve; Neilson, Ronald P. 2000. The interplay between climate change, forests, and disturbances.
• Joyce, Linda A.; Flather, Curtis H.; Flebbe, Patricia A.; Hoekstra, Thomas W.; Ursic, Stan J. 1990. Integrating Forage, Wildlife, Water, and Fish Projections with Timber Projections at the Regional Level: A Case Study in Southern United States.
• Joyce, L. A.; Baker, R. L. 1987. Forest overstory-understory relationships in Alabama forests.

Research Highlights

Highlight	Title	Year
RMRS-2018-89	Climate change vulnerability in the northern and central Rocky Mountains: Issues relevant to resource management In the face of climate change, vulnerability assessments are important tools to support climate change adaptation planning and Forest Plan Revis ...	2018
RMRS-2017-203	Managing climate change risks in rangeland ecosystems Rangelands are ecologically diverse ecosystems in the drier parts of the United States, occupying around 25 percent of the United States land ar ...	2017