Featured Publications & Products

• McKenzie, Donald; Littell, Jeremy S. 2017. Climate change and the eco-hydrology of fire: Will area burned increase in a warming western USA.
• McKenzie, Donald; Kennedy, Maureen C. 2012. Power laws reveal phase transitions in landscape controls of fire regimes.
• McKenzie, Donald; Shankar, Uma; Keane, Robert E.; Stavros, E. Natasha; Heilman, Warren E.; Fox, Douglas G.; Riebau, Allen C. 2014. Smoke consequences of new wildfire regimes driven by climate change.
• McKenzie, Donald; Peterson, David L.; Littell, Jeremy J. 2009. Global warming and stress complexes in forests of western North America.
• Littell, Jeremy S.; McKenzie, Donald; Peterson, David L.; Westerling, Anthony L. 2009. Climate and wildfire area burned in western U.S. ecoprovinces, 1916-2003.
• Falk, Donald A.; Miller, Carol; McKenzie, Donald; Black, Anne E. 2007. Cross-scale analysis of fire regimes.

Publications

• Littell, Jeremy S.; McKenzie, Donald ; Wan, Ho Yi; Cushman, Samuel A. 2018. Climate change and future wildfire in the Western United States: an ecological approach to nonstationarity.
• Shankar, Uma; Prestemon, Jeffrey; McKenzie, Donald; Talgo, Kevin; Xiu, Aijun; Omary, Mohammad; Baek, Bok Haeng; Yang, Dongmei; Vizuete, William. 2018. Projecting wildfire emissions over the south-eastern United States to mid-century.
• Kennedy, Maureen C.; McKenzie, Donald ; Tague, Christina ; Dugger, Aubrey L. 2017. Balancing uncertainty and complexity to incorporate fire spread in an eco-hydrological model.
• Cansler, C. Alina; McKenzie, Donald; Halpern, Charles B. 2016. Area burned in alpine treeline ecotones reflects region-wide trends.
• Halpern, Charles B.; Antos, Joseph A.; McKenzie, Donald; Olson, Annette M.; Souza, Lara. 2016. Past tree influence and prescribed fire mediate biotic interactions and community reassembly in a grassland-restoration experiment.
• Prestemon, Jeffrey P.; Shankar, Uma; Xiu, Aijun; Talgo, K.; Yang, D.; Dixon, Ernest; McKenzie, Donald; Abt, Karen L. 2016. Projecting wildfire area burned in the south-eastern United States, 2011-60.
• Prestemon, Jeff; Shankar, Uma; Xiu, Aijun; Talgo, K.; Yang, D.; Dixon IV, Ernest; McKenzie, Donald; Abt, Karen L. 2016. Projecting wildfire area burned in the south-eastern United States, 2011-60.
• McKenzie, Donald; Perera, Ajith H. 2015. Modeling wildfire regimes in forest landscapes: abstracting a complex reality.
• Stavros, E. Natasha; Abatzoglou, John; Tane, Zachary; Kane, Van; Veraverbeke, Sander; McGaughey, Bob; Lutz, James A.; Larkin, Narasimhan K.; McKenzie, Donald; Steel, E. Ashley; Ramirez, Carlos; Boland, Justin; Schimel, Dave. 2015. Regional likelihood of very large wildfires over the 21st century across the western United States: Motivation to study individual events like the Rim Fire, a unique opportunity with unprecedented remote sensing data.
• Keane, Robert E.; McKenzie, Donald; Falk, Donald A.; Smithwick, Erica A.H.; Miller, Carol; Kellogg, Lara-Karena B. 2015. Representing climate, disturbance, and vegetation interactions in landscape models.
• Stavros, E. Natasha; Abatzoglou, John; Larkin, Narasimhan K.; McKenzie, Donald; Steel, E. Ashley. 2014. Climate and very large wildland fires in the contiguous western USA.
• Cansler, C. Alina; McKenzie, Donald. 2014. Climate, fire size, and biophysical setting control fire severity and spatial pattern in the northern Cascade Range, USA.
• Ryan, Michael G.; Vose, James M.; Hanson, Paul J.; Iverson, Louis R.; Miniat, Chelcy F.; Luce, Charles H.; Band, Lawrence E.; Klein, Steven L.; McKenzie, Don; Wear, David N. 2014. Forest processes Chapter 3.
• French, Nancy H.F.; McKenzie, Donald; Erickson, Tyler; Koziol, Benjamin; Billmire, Michael; Endsley, K.; Scheinerman, Naomi K.Y.; Jenkins, Liza; Miller, Mary E.; Ottmar, Roger; Prichard, Susan. 2014. Modeling regional-scale wildland fire emissions with the wildland fire emissions information system.
• McKenzie, Donald; Abatzoglou, John T.; Stavros, E. Natasha; Larkin, Narasimhan K. 2014. Regional projections of the likelihood of very large wildland fires under a changing climate in the contiguous Western United States.
• Raymond, Crystal L.; McKenzie, Donald. 2014. Temporal carbon dynamics of forests in Washington, US: implications for ecological theory and carbon management.
• Stavros, E. Natasha ; McKenzie, Donald; Larkin, Narasimhan. 2014. The climate-wildfire-air quality system: interactions and feedbacks across spatial and temporal scales.
• Raymond, Crystal L.; McKenzie, Donald. 2013. Comparing algorithms for estimating foliar biomass of conifers in the Pacific Northwest.
• Wilsey, Chad B.; Lawler, Joshua J.; Maurer, Edwin P.; McKenzie, Donald; Townsend, Patricia A.; Gwozdz, Richard; Freund, James A.; Hagmann, Keala; Hutten, Karen M. 2013. Tools for assessing climate impacts on fish and wildlife.
• Iverson, Louis R.; McKenzie, Donald. 2013. Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate: detecting, modeling, assisting.
• Raymond, Crystal L.; McKenzie, Donald. 2012. Carbon dynamics of forest in Washington, USA: 21st century projections based on climate-driven changes in fire regimes.
• Cansler, C. Alina; McKenzie, Donald. 2012. How robust are burn severity indices when applied in a new region Evaluation of alternate field-based and remote-sensing methods.
• McKenzie, Donald; French, Nancy H.F.; Ottmar, Roger D. 2012. National database for calculating fuel available to wildfires.
• Evans, Shelley A.; Halpern, Charles B.; McKenzie, Donald. 2012. The contributions of forest structure and substrate to bryophyte diversity and abundance in mature coniferous forests of the Pacific Northwest.
• Littell, Jeremy S.; McKenzie, Donald; Kerns, Becky K.; Cushman, Samuel; Shaw, Charles G. 2011. Managing uncertainty in climate-driven ecological models to inform adaptation to climate change.
• French, Nancy H.F.; de Groot, William J.; Jenkins, Liza K.; Rogers, Brendan M.; Alvarado, Ernesto; Amiro, Brian; De Jong, Bernardus; Goetz, Scott; Hoy, Elizabeth; Hyer, Edward; Keane, Robert; Law, B.E.; McKenzie, Donald; McNulty, Steven G.; Ottmar, Roger; Perez-Salicrup, Diego R.; Randerson, James; Robertson, Kevin M.; Turetsky, Merritt. 2011. Model comparisons for estimating carbon emissions from North American wildland fire.
• Falk, Donald A.; Heyerdahl, Emily K.; Brown, Peter M.; Farris, Calvin; Fule, Peter Z.; McKenzie, Donald; Swetnam, Thomas W.; Taylor, Alan H.; Van Horne, Megan L. 2011. Multi-scale controls of historical forest-fire regimes: new insights from fire-scar networks.
• McKenzie, Donald; Kennedy, Maureen. 2011. Scaling laws and complexity in fire regimes Chapter 2.
• Littell, Jeremy S.; Oneil, Elaine E.; McKenzie, Donald; Hicke, Jeffrey A.; Lutz, James A.; Norheim, Robert A.; Elsner, Marketa M. 2010. Forest ecosystems, disturbance, and climate change in Washington State, USA.
• McKenzie, Don. 2010. The effects of climatic change and wildland fires on air quality in national parks and wilderness areas.
• Kopper, Karen E.; McKenzie, Donald; Peterson, David L. 2009. The evaluation of meta-analysis techniques for quantifying prescribed fire effects on fuel loadings..
• McKenzie, Don; Hessl, Amy E. 2008. A neutral model of low-severity fire regimes.
• Heyerdahl, Emily K.; McKenzie, Donald; Daniels, Lori D.; Hessl, Amy E.; Littell, Jeremy S.; Mantua, Nathan J. 2008. Climate drivers of regionally synchronous fires in the inland northwest (1651-1900).
• McKenzie, Donald; Raymond, Crystal L.; Cushman, Samuel A. 2008. Modeling understory vegetation and its response to fire Chapter 15.
• Baron, Jill S.; Allen, Craig D.; Fleishman, Erica; Gunderson, Lance; McKenzie, Don; Meyerson, Laura; Oropeza, Jill; Stephenson, Nate. 2008. National Parks.
• Kellogg, Lara-Karena B.; McKenzie, Donald; Peterson, David L.; Hessl, Amy E. 2008. Spatial models for inferring topographic controls on historical low-severity fire in the eastern Cascade Range of Washington, USA.
• McKenzie, D.; Raymond, C.L.; Kellogg, L.-K.B.; Norheim, R.A.; Andreu, A.G.; Bayard, A.C.; Kopper, K.E.; Elman, E. 2007. Mapping fuels at multiple scales: landscape application of the fuel characteristic classification system..
• Cushman, Samuel A.; McKenzie, Donald; Peterson, David L.; Littell, Jeremy; McKelvey, Kevin S. 2007. Research agenda for integrated landscape modeling.
• McKenzie, D.; O'Neill, S.M.; Larkin, N.; Norheim, R.A. 2006. Integrating models to predict regional haze from wildland fire..
• Raymond, Crystal L.; Kellogg, Lara-Karena B.; McKenzie, Donald. 2006. Mapping Fuels on the Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests.
• Cushman, Samuel A.; McKenzie, Donald; Peterson, David L.; Littell, Jeremy; McKelvey, Kevin S. 2006. Research agenda for integrated landscape modeling.
• McKenzie, Donald; Hessl, Amy E.; Kellogg, Lara-Karena B. 2006. Using neutral models to identify constraints on low-severity fire regimes..
• Peterson, David L.; Johnson, Morris C.; Agee, James K.; Jain, Theresa B.; McKenzie, Donald; Reinhardt, Elizabeth D. 2005. Forest structure and fire hazard in dry forests of the Western United States.
• Halpern, Charles B.; McKenzie, Donald; Evans, Shelley A.; Maguire, Douglas A. 2005. Initial responses of forest understories to varying levels and patterns of green-tree retention..
• Peterson, David L.; Johnson, Morris C.; Agee, James K.; Jain, Theresa B.; McKenzie, Donald; Reinhardt, Elizabeth D. 2003. Fuels planning: Managing forest structure to reduce fire hazard.
• Schmoldt, Daniel L.; Peterson, David L.; Keane, Robert E.; Lenihan, James M.; McKenzie, Donald; Weise, David R.; Sandberg, David V. 1999. Assessing the effects of fire disturbance on ecosystems: a scientific agenda for research and management..
• McKenzie, Donald; Peterson, David L.; Alvarado, Ernesto. 1996. Predicting the effect of fire on large-scale vegetation patterns in North America..