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Global and Regional Outlooks for Planted Forest Area Based Quadratic Relationships with Per Capita Income

Photo of AdobeStock 366116571- Forest ranger with bag full of pine seedlings for reforestationAdobeStock 366116571- Forest ranger with bag full of pine seedlings for reforestationSnapshot : This study provides insight into the prospective planted forest area futures through the year 2100 in various countries, aggregated into major regions and the world, using the estimated quadratic relationships between per capita income and planted forest area, and compared with the past published projections based on a linear relationship.

Principal Investigators(s) :
Nepal, PrakashPrestemon, Jeffrey P.
Research Location : Southern Research Station, North Carolina State University, University of Helsinki, Finland
Research Station : Forest Products Laboratory (FPL)
Year : 2020
Highlight ID : 1681

Summary

The estimated planted forest model with the quadratic term projects increasing global planted forest area trends for the next three to four decades with declining trends thereafter. This outcome is consistent with the view that rising incomes are associated with progressively greater attention to the adverse environmental or social impacts of planted forests. For instance, depending on assumed socioeconomic futures, the projected gains in global planted forest area ranged from 9% to 14% by 2055, which were projected to decline thereafter, representing no increase to a 3% increase by 2100 compared to the 2015 level.

Forest Service Partners

External Partners

  • None
  • North Carolina State University
  • University of Helsinki, Finland