AGU 2013 Talks and Posters

AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION ANNUAL MEETING; DEC 9-13, 2013, SAN FRANCISCO, CA

CIRMOUNT-Sponsored Sessions, Dec 10, 2013:
Session title: Climate Change and Wildfire: Drivers, Interactions and Consequences

Abstracts of all talks and posters presented.

Presiding:
Donald McKenzie, Pacific NW Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA
Connie Millar, Pacific SW Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Albany, CA
C. Alina Cansler, University of Washington, College of the Environment, Seattle, WA

TALKS

From Restoration To Resilience Ecology: Rapid Ecosystem Shifts Are Triggered By Interactions Of Landscape Fire And Climate Change
Donald A Falk

Holocene Fire, Climate and Erosion in the Jemez Mountains, New Mexico: Natural and Anthropogenic Controls
Erin P Fitch and Grant A Meyer

Resilience and sensitivity of high-severity fire regimes to climatic variability from centuries to millennia
Philip E Higuera, Ryan Kelly, Fengsheng Hu

Does decreased orographic enhancement explain declining annual streamflows and recent increases in wildfire fire activity in the Pacific Northwestern US?
Zachary A Holden, Charles Luce, Penelope Morgan, Michael Crimmins, John T Abatzoglou

Frequent, Low-Intensity Fire Increases Tree Defense To Bark Beetles
Sharon Hood, Anna Sala

Spatiotemporal surface shortwave forcing from fire-induced albedo change in interior Alaska
Shengli Huang, Shuguang Liu

Different Climate - Fire Relationships on Forested and Non-Forested Landscapes in California
Jon E. Keeley

Integrating fire with hydrological projections: model evaluation to identify uncertainties and tradeoffs in model complexity
Maureen Kennedy, Donald McKenzie

Characterizing dichotomous fire regimes of southern California: climate, vegetation and topography
Crystal Kolden, John T Abatzoglou

The limits of statistical climate-fire modeling: what goes up must come down
Jeremy S Littell, Donald McKenzie

Smokey Bear is Dead: A New Era of Wildfires in the Western U.S.
Jennifer L Pierce, Jenna Duffin, Eric Lindquist, Thomas Wuerzer, Michael Pellant

Varying likelihood of Megafire across space and time in the western contiguous United States
E. Natasha Stavros, John T Abatzoglou, Narasimhan K Larkin, Donald McKenzie, E. Ashley Steel

Using ecological forecasting of future vegetation transition and fire frequency change in the Sierra Nevada to assess fire management strategies
James H Thorne, Mark W Schwartz, Andrew J Holguin, Max Moritz, Enric Batllori, Karen Folger, Koren Nydick

A tree-ring based reconstruction of North Pacific Jet variability and its influence on Sierra Nevada fire regimes
Valerie Trouet, Flurin Babst, Julio L Betancourt

Can climate change increase fire severity independent of fire intensity?
Phillip van Mantgem, Jonathan Nesmith, MaryBeth Keifer, Eric Knapp, Alan L Flint, Lorraine E Flint

A multi-scale conceptual model of fire and disease interactions in North American forests
J Morgan Varner, Jesse K Kreye, Rosemary Sherriff, Margaret Metz

POSTERS

Modeling wildfire and hydrologic response to global climate change using the Landlab modeling environment
Jordan Marie Adams, Nicole M Gasparini, Gregory E Tucker, Erkan Istanbulluoglu, Eric Hutton, Daniel E. J. Hobley, Sai Siddhartha Nudurupati

Holocene disturbance dynamics from a pine-dominated forest in central British Columbia, Canada
Kendrick J Brown, Nicholas Hebda, Nicholas Condor, Richard Hebda, Brad Hawkes

Regional Trends in Large Wildfires and Climate in the Western U.S., 98-00
Philip E Dennison, Simon Brewer, James Arnold, Max Moritz

Modeling the Spatial Pattern of Wildfire Ignition and Burned Area in Southern Californian Mediterranean Ecosystems
Nicolas Faivre, Yufang Jin, Michael Goulden, James Tremper Randerson

Controls over nitrogen cycling in California chaparral
Erin J Hanan, Joshua Schimel

Wildfires in southern California: climatic drivers and future projections
Yufang Jin, James Tremper Randerson, Scott B Capps, Alexander D Hall, Nicolas Faivre, Michael Goulden

Predicting high severity fire occurrence and area burned in a changing climate for three regions in the Western US.
Alisa Keyser, Anthony Leroy Westerling, Jeanne Milostan

Relation between wind speed and burned area on global scale
Gitta Lasslop, Silvia Kloster

Historic Perspectives on Watershed and Landscape Consequences of Native Forest Insect Outbreaks
Connie Millar

Impacts of snow water equivalent on forest disturbance in the Sierra Nevada with climate change
Andrew Nguyen, Chase Mueller, Roy Petrakis, Spencer Adkins, Olivia Kuss, Monica Kumaran, Marc Meyer, Cindy Schmidt

A framework for tracking post-wildfire trajectories and desired future conditions using NDVI time series
Steven P Norman, William Walter Hargrove, Danny C Lee, Joseph Spruce

Stream Water and Soil Water Chemistry Following the Table Mountain Wildfire, Washington Vincent Joseph Roccanova, Carey Alice Gazis

Fires, storms, and water supplies: a case of compound extremes?
Gary J Sheridan, Petter Nyman, Christoph Langhans, Owen Jones, Patrick N J Lane

Testing Frontier Aerosol Physics: Effect of Emissions Source Tuning, Vertical Calibration, and Superparameterized Scavenging on Simulations of an Acute 00 Arctic Wildfire Plume in CESM.
Amy Yu, Michael S Pritchard