Version 3

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shagbark hickory (Carya ovata) Model Reliability: Medium Model Reliability Medium

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Current Distribution Maps for shagbark hickory

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>Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for shagbark hickory
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Current Forest Inventory and Analysis

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Climate Change Scenario Maps Model Reliability Medium

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Hadley - High Scenario for shagbark hickory
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HadleyCM3 – A1FI (High, "Harsh") Climate Scenario

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Ranked Maps of the Predictors Used in the Model

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Mean May-September precipitation (mm)
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Mean May-September precipitation (mm)



Potential Changes in Abundance and Range (Future)

GCM SCENARIO % Area Occ Ave IV Sum IV Future/Current IV
Actual FIA 18.7 4.2 7,609 NA
Modelled Current 34.5 2.4 8,241 NA
GCM3Avg-Lo 45.2 2.3 10,100 1.23
GCM3Avg-Hi 55.1 1.7 8,982 1.09
PCM-Lo 42.8 2.6 11,063 1.34
PCM-Hi 51.7 2.3 11,548 1.4
GFDL-Lo 48.6 2.3 10,809 1.31
GFDL-Hi 57.3 1.6 9,203 1.12
Hadley-Lo 45.2 2 8,723 1.06
Hadley-Hi 53.1 1.5 7,844 0.95


Notice:

This is version 3 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas. You can view version 4 of the Tree Atlas, or the most current shagbark hickory page.



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