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bur oak (Quercus macrocarpa)

Model Reliability: Medium



Current Forest Inventory and Analysis under Current Conditions
Current Forest Inventory and Analysis under Current Conditions
(DISTRIB-II + SHIFT)
HQCL Legend Help
Importance Value
GCM SCENARIO % Area Occ Ave IV Sum IV Future/Current IV
Actual5.711.819926N/A
RFimp86.1143610.72
CCSM4515.35.4244591.7
CCSM8517.15.5273831.91
GFDL4517.55.7292202.03
GFDL85185.3281671.96
HAD4517.35.3269491.88
HAD8516.34.8229571.6
GCM4518.94.8268961.87
GCM8518.74.8261831.82

Regional Summary Tree Tables

 Cautions  Model Info  FAQ

 Interpretation Guide


Bur oak is narrowly distributed (7.8% of area), dense but with high IV, and common species in the northwestern quadrant of the eastern US, often the only oak in this region. The medium reliable model suggests an increase in habitat (though still classed as 'No change' because of <10% area) throughout this quadrant. Suitable habitat is modeled to greatly increase especially in Minnesota and Iowa by century's end. However, the SHIFT model largely limits those new habitat locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though a fairly large expansion into this region has some possibility, and northern Minnesota has a quite high possibility of natural colonization. Its high adaptability rating (drought and fire tolerance) pushes its overall rating to good.



Family:  Fagaceae

Guild: persistent, large-seeded, advance growthdependent

Functional Lifeform: large deciduous tree

6.4 2.77
-0.16 Model Reliability Medium

MODFACs
What traits will impact bur oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:

 Primary Positive Traits

Drought Fire topkill

 Primary Negative Traits


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