Little Blue Heron (Egretta caerulea)Reliability of Model: Medium Reliability of Model: Medium

Current Distribution Maps for Little Blue HeronHelp »

Compare Two Species
>Current Breeding Bird Survey for Little Blue Heron
Current Modelled

Climate Change Scenario Maps Model Reliability MediumHelp »

Compare Scenarios
Hadley - High Scenario for Little Blue Heron
HadleyCM3 – A1FI (High, "Harsh") Climate Scenario

Ranked Maps of the Predictors Used in the Model Help »

Mean May-September precipitation (mm)
Mean May-September precipitation (mm)

Potential Changes in Abundance and Range (Future)

GCM SCENARIO % Area Occ Ave IV Sum IV Future/Current IV
Current Modelled34.80.3621228.7
Current Breeding Bird Survey0.45193.4
HadleyCM3 – A1FI (High, "Harsh") Climate Scenario98.40.3723572.22.907
PCM – B1 (Low, "Mild") Climate Scenario55.80.3692012.11.638
Avg. of 3 GCMs – A1FI (High) Climate Scenario94.70.3613336.62.716
Avg. of 3 GCMs – B1 (Low) Climate Scenario68.80.3682469.42.01

Last Modified: March 28, 2019