AFUE Preliminary Findings
The Aerial Firefighting Use and Effectiveness study started in 2012 with the expectation to develop a aircraft modernization strategy for wildland fire. The Government Accountability Office (GAO) recommended the Forest Service expand its efforts to collect information on the performance and effectiveness of the federal firefighting aircraft fleet.
Click on the link below to read the preliminary findings.
The Aerial Firefighting Use and Effectiveness (AFUE) Study was initiated in 2012 to answer a general, but complex question: “What are the best mixes of aircraft to do any fire suppression job?” Data collected from this study and other sources will be used to inform decisions about the composition of the interagency wildland firefighting aircraft fleet.
The nationwide, multi-year AFUE study is chartered by the U.S. Forest Service Fire and Aviation Management Program. The AFUE Study uses four “observation modules,” each comprised of three qualified firefighters, as well as a dedicated aircraft, to collect ground and aerial data at wildfires throughout the nation during fire season.
Data collection began in 2012, primarily to develop methods. Data collected from 2012 through 2014 is not sufficient to provide statistically defensible analysis and results. The U.S. Forest Service plans to begin releasing annual detailed fire suppression aircraft use summaries for 2015 and 2016 during 2017. Additional use summaries will come out several months after each data collection season. The remainder of the AFUE Study products will be released after several more fire seasons, once the sample size and statistical confidence increases.
The AFUE study will provide key information to define and track performance metrics for wildland fire aerial suppression aircraft.
- The results of the study may lead to improvements in training, mission selection and execution, and eventually fleet planning, leading to overall improvement in aviation cost effectiveness and potentially to fire suppression cost savings.
- AFUE collects aircraft drop location and information including the objectives and outcomes for each drop, along with terrain, slope, fuel type, fire behavior, weather conditions and other factors that may influence drop effectiveness.
- By documenting the objectives, conditions and outcomes of individual drops, AFUE provides a means to identify and track the performance of specific aircraft types, and assess the influence of the operational missions that drops supported and environmental factors that influenced outcomes.
- All AFUE missions are coordinated through Geographic Area Coordination Centers, local dispatch centers and the on-scene local Incident Command System, and try not to influence operational decisions or outcomes. AFUE operates at no cost to any incident for the data collection mission.
- The AFUE study uses four “observation modules” of three qualified firefighters each as well as a dedicated aircraft to collect ground and aerial data throughout the nation and throughout fire season.