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Publications

Synthesis and Review Publications

Bentz, B.J., C.D. Allen, M. Ayres, E. Berg, A. Carroll, M. Hansen, J. Hicke, L. Joyce, J. Logan, W. MacFarlane, J. MacMahon, S. Munson, J. Negron, T. Paine, J. Powell, K. Raffa, J. Régnière, M. Reid, W. Romme, S. Seybold, D. Six, D. Tomback, J. Vandygriff, T. Veblen, M. White, J. Witcosky, and D. Wood. In Press. Bark Beetle Outbreaks in Western North America: Causes and Consequences. University of Utah Press.

Bentz, B.J., C. J. Fettig, E. M. Hansen, J. Hicke, J. L. Hayes, R. Kelsey, J. Lundquist, J. Negrón, R. Progar, J. Régnière, S. Seybold, and J. Vandygriff. 2008. Climate Change and Western U.S. Bark Beetles: Rapid Threat Assessment.

Chambers, Jeanne C. 2008. Climate change and the Great Basin. In: Chambers, Jeanne C.; Devoe, Nora; Evenden, Angela, eds. Collaborative management and research in the Great Basin - examining the issues and developing a framework for action. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-204. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. p. 29-32.

Chambers, Jeanne C.; Pellant, Mike 2008. Climate change impacts on northwestern and intermountain United States rangelands. Rangelands. 30(3): 29-33.

Cole, David N.; Yung, Laurie; Zavaleta, Erika S.; Aplet, Gregory H.; Chaplin, F. Stuart III; Graber, David M.; Higgs, Eric S.; Hobbs, Richard J.; Landres, Peter B.; Millar, Constance I.; Parsons, David J.; Randall, John M.; Stephenson, Nathan L.; Tonnessen, Kathy A.; White, Peter S.; Woodley, Stephen 2008. Naturalness and beyond: Protected area stewardship in an era of global environmental change. The George Wright Forum 25(1):36-56.

CCSP, 2008: Preliminary review of adaptation options for climate-sensitive ecosystems and resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. [Julius, SH, JM West (eds.), JS Baron, B Griffith, LA Joyce, P Kareiva, BD Keller, MA Palmer, CH Peterson, and JM Scott (Authors)]. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, 873 pp.

CCSP, 2008: The effects of climate change on agriculture, land resources, water resources, and biodiversity in the United States. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. P Backlund, A Janetos, D Schimel, J Hatfield, K Boote, P Fay, L Hahn, C Izaurralde, BA Kimball, T Mader, J Morgan, D Ort, W Polley, A Thomson, D Wolfe, MG Ryan, SR Archer, RA Birdsey, CN Dahm, LS Heath, JA Hicke, DY Hollinger, TE Huxman, GS Okin, R Oren, JT Randerson, WH Schlesinger, D Lettenmaier, D Major, L Poff, S Running, L Hansen, D Inouye, BP Kelly, L Meyerson, B Peterson, R Shaw. US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, 362 pp.

Joyce, LA, Blate, G, Littell, J, McNulty S, Millar, C, Moser S, Neilson R, O'Halloran, K, Peterson DL. 2008. National Forests. IN: Julius, SH, JM West, JS Baron, B Griffith, LA Joyce, P Kareiva, BD Keller, MA Palmer, CH Peterson, and JM Scott (Authors). Preliminary review of adaptation options for climate-sensitive ecosystems and resources. Synthesis and Assessment Product 4.4. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, 3-1 to 3-127 pp.

Ryan MG, SR Archer, RA Birdsey, CN Dahm, LS Heath, JA Hicke, DY Hollinger, TE Huxman, GS Okin, R Oren, JT Randerson, WH Schlesinger, 2008. Land Resources. In: The effects of climate change on agriculture, land resources, water resources, and biodiversity in the United States. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. Washington, DC, USA, 362 pp.

Kliejunas, John T.; Geils, Brian W.; Glaeser, Jessie Micales; Goheen, Ellen Michaels; Hennon, Paul; Kim, Mee-Sook; Kope, Harry; Stone, Jeff; Sturrock, Rona; Frankel, Susan J. 2009. Review of literature on climate change and forest diseases of western North America. Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-225. Albany, CA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station. 54 p.

Wildlife and Wildlife Habitats

Wolverine

Aubry K. B., K. S. McKelvey and J. P. Copeland. In Press. Geographic distribution and broad-scale habitat relations of the wolverine in the contiguous United States. Journal of Wildlife Management.

Pacific Northwest Wildlife Habitat

McKelvey, Kevin S.; Cushman, Samuel A.; Schwartz, Michael K.; Ruggiero, Leonard F. 2009. Wildlife monitoring across multiple spatial scales using grid-based sampling. In: McRoberts, Ronald E.; Reams, Gregory A.; Van Deusen, Paul C.; McWilliams, William H., eds. 2009. Proceedings of the eighth annual forest inventory and analysis symposium. 2006 October 16-19; Monterey, CA. Gen. Tech. Report WO-79. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 408 p.

Bull Trout

Rieman, Bruce E.; Isaak, Daniel; Adams, Susan; Horan, Dona; Nagel, David; Luce, Charles; Myers, Deborah 2007. Anticipated climate warming effects on bull trout habitats and populations across the interior Columbia River basin. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society. 136: 1552-1565.

Climate, Vegetation and Landscapes

Carbon

Loeffler, Dan; Jones, Greg; Vonessen, Nikolaus; Healey, Sean; Chung, Woodam 2009. Estimating diesel fuel consumption and carbon dioxide emissions from forest road construction. In: McWilliams, Will; Moisen, Gretchen; Czaplewski, Ray, comps. Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Symposium 2008; October 21-23, 2008; Park City, UT. Proc. RMRS-P-56CD. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. 11 p.

Cavaleri, Molly A.; Oberbauer, Steven F.; Ryan, Michael G. 2008. Foliar and ecosystem respiration in an old-growth tropical rain forest. Plant, Cell and Environment. 31: 473-483.

Clark, David B.; Olivas, Paulo C.; Oberbauer, Steven F.; Clark, Deborah A.; Ryan, Michael G. 2008. First direct landscape-scale measurement of tropical rain forest Leaf Area Index, a key driver of global primary productivity. Ecology Letters. 11: 163-172.

Sherrill, K. R.; Lefsky, M. A.; Bradford, J. B.; Ryan, M. G. 2008. Forest structure estimation and pattern exploration from discrete return lidar in subalpine forests of the Central Rockies. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 38(8): 2081-2096.

Litton, Creighton M. ; Raich, James W.; Ryan, Michael G. 2007. Carbon allocation in forest ecosystems. Global Change Biology. 13: 2089-2109.

Bradford JB, P Weishampel, M-L Smith, RK Kolka, DY Hollinger, RA Birdsey, S Ollinger and MG Ryan. 2008. Landscape-Scale Carbon Sampling Strategy – Lessons Learned. Pages 227-238 in CM Hoover, editor, Field measurements for forest carbon monitoring: A landscape-scale approach, Springer, New York, NY, USA.

Bradford JB and MG Ryan. 2008. Quantifying soil respiration at landscape-scales. Pages 143-162 in CM Hoover, editor, Field measurements for forest carbon monitoring: A landscape-scale approach, Springer, New York, NY, USA.

Paleoecology of Great Basin Pinyon-Juniper Communities

Tausch, R.J., and C.L. Nowak. 2000. Influences of Holocene climate and vegetation changes on present and future community dynamics. J. Arid Land Studies 10S:5-8.

Mensing, S.C., R.G. Elgston Jr., G.L. Raines, R.J. Tausch, and C.L. Nowak. 2000. A GIS model to predict the location of fossil packrat (Neotoma) middens in central Nevada. Great Basin Naturalist 60:111-120.

Nowak, R.S., C.L. Nowak, and R.J. Tausch. 2000 The probability that a fossil absent from a sample is also absent from the paleolandscape. Quaternary Research 54:144-154.

Plant Species and Community Shifts under Climate Change

Richardson, Bryce A.; Rehfeldt, Gerald E.; Kim, Mee-Sook 2009. Congruent climate-related genecological responses from molecular markers and quantitative traits for western white pine (Pinus monticola). International Journal of Plant Sciences. 170(9): 1120-1131.

van Mantgem, Phillip J.; Stephenson, Nathan L.; Byrne, John C.; Daniels, Lori D.; Franklin, Jerry F.; Fule, Peter Z.; Harmon, Mark E.; Larson, Andrew J.; Smith, Jeremy M.; Taylor, Alan H.; Veblen, Thomas T. 2009. Widespread increase of tree mortality rates in the western United States. Science. 323(23): 521-524.

Sáenz-Romero, C., G.E. Rehfeldt, N.L. Crookston, P. Duval, R. St-Amant, J. Beaulieu, and B.A. Richardson. 2009. Spline models of contemporary, 2030, 2060 and 2090 climates for Mexico and their use in understanding climate-change impacts on the vegetation. Climatic Change. 29 p.

Rehfeldt, Gerald E.; Ferguson, Dennis E.; Crookston, Nicholas L. 2009. Aspen, climate, and sudden decline in western USA. Forest Ecology and Management. 258: 2353-2364.

Rehfeldt Gerald E.; Ferguson Dennis E.; Crookston Nicholas L. 2008. Quantifying the abundance of co-occurring conifers along Inland Northwest (USA) climate gradients. Ecology. 89(8): 2127-2139.

Chuine, Isabelle; Rehfeldt, Gerald E.; Aitken, Sally N. 2006. Height growth determinants in pines: A case study of Pinus contorta and Pinus monticola. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 36: 1059-1066.

Rehfeldt, Gerald E.; Crookston, Nicholas L.; Warwell, Marcus V.; Evans, Jeffrey S. 2006. Empirical Analyses of Plant-Climate Relationships for the Western United States. International Journal of Plant Sciences (167)6:1123-1150.

Rehfeldt, Gerald E. 2006. A spline model of climate for the Western United States. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-165. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. 21 p.

Plant Genetics

Saenz-Romero, Cuauhtemoc; Guzman-Reyna, R. Ricardo; Rehfeldt, Gerald E. 2006. Altitudinal genetic variation among Pinus oocarpa populations in Michoacan, Mexico: implications for seed zoning, conservation, tree breeding and global warming. Forest ecology and management. 229(1-3): 340-350.

Tchebakova, N.M., G.E. Rehfeldt, and E.I. Parfenova. 2005. Impacts of climate change on the distribution of Larix spp. and Pinus sylvestris and their climatypes in Siberia. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. 11:861-882.

Warwell, M.V., G.E. Rehfeldt, and N.L. Crookston. 2008. Modeling species’ realized climatic niche space and predicting their response to global warming for several western forest species with small geographic distributions. Proceedings of advances in threat assessment and their application to forest and rangeland management. July 18-20, 2006. Boulder, CO, p. 3659.

Richardson, B.A., M.V. Warwell, M-S. Kim, N.B. Klopfenstein, and G.I. McDonald. 2008. Integration of population genetic structure and plant response to climate change: sustaining genetic resources through evaluation of projected threats. Proceedings of advances in threat assessment and their application to forest and rangeland management. July 18-20, 2006. Boulder, CO, p. 3565.

Warwell, Marcus V.; Rehfeldt, Gerald E.; Crookston, Nicholas L. 2006. Modeling contemporary climate profiles of whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis) and predicting responses to global warming. In: Goheen, E., ed. Proceedings of the Conference Whitebark Pine: A Pacific Coast Perspective. R6-NR-FHP-2007-01. Ashland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. p. 139-142.

Disturbances — Fire, Insects, Disease

Fire

Heyerdahl, Emily K.; Morgan, Penelope; Riser, James P., II 2008. Multi-season climate synchronized historical fires in dry forests (1650-1900), Northern Rockies, USA. Ecology. 89(3): 705-716.

Morgan, Penelope; Heyerdahl, Emily K.; Gibson, Carly E. 2008. Multi-season climate synchronized forest fires throughout the 20th century, Northern Rockies, USA. Ecology. 89(3): 717-728.

Keane, Robert E.; Holsinger, Lisa M.; Parsons, Russell A.; Gray, Kathy 2008. Climate change effects on historical range and variability of two large landscapes in western Montana, USA. Forest Ecology and Management. 254: 375-389.

Ford, P. L. 2008. Effects of 10 years of fire and climate variability on perennial grass cover in shortgrass steppe. In: Multifunctional grasslands in a changing world, Volume I; XXI International Grassland Congress; VIII International Rangeland Congress. Beijing, China: Guangdong People's Publishing House: 75.

Insects

Raffa, Kenneth F.; Aukema, Brian H.; Bentz, Barbara J.; Carroll, Allan L.; Hicke, Jeffrey A.; Turner, Monica G.; Romme, William H. 2008. Cross-scale drivers of natural disturbances prone to anthropogenic amplification: Dynamics of biome-wide bark beetle eruptions. BioScience. 58(6): 501-518.

Brunelle, Andrea; Rehfeldt, Gerald E.; Bentz, Barbara; Munson, A. Steven 2008. Holocene records of Dendroctonus bark beetles in high elevation pine forests of Idaho and Montana, USA. Forest Ecology and Management. 255: 836-846.

Clifford, Michael J.; Rocca, Monique E.; Delph, Robert; Ford, Paulette L.; Cobb, Neil S. 2008. Drought induced tree mortality and ensuing bark beetle outbreaks in southwestern pinyon-juniper woodlands. In: Gottfried, Gerald J.; Shaw, John D.; Ford, Paulette L., compilers. 2008. Ecology, management, and restoration of piñon-juniper and ponderosa pine ecosystems: combined proceedings of the 2005 St. George, Utah and 2006 Albuquerque, New Mexico workshops. Proceedings RMRS-P-51. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. p. 39-51.

Disease

Klopfenstein, Ned B.; Kim, Mee-Sook; Hanna, John W.; Richardson, Bryce A.; Lundquist, John E. 2009. Approaches to predicting potential impacts of climate change on forest disease: an example with Armillaria root disease. Res. Pap. RMRS-RP-76. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. 10 p.

Kliejunas, John T.; Geils, Brian W.; Glaeser, Jessie Micales; Goheen, Ellen Michaels; Hennon, Paul; Kim, Mee-Sook; Kope, Harry; Stone, Jeff; Sturrock, Rona; Frankel, Susan J. 2009. Review of literature on climate change and forest diseases of western North America. Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-225. Albany, CA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station. 54 p.

Climate Change Effects on People

Blate, G. M.; Joyce, L. A.; Littell, J. S.; McNulty, S. G.; Millar, C. I.; Moser, S.C.; Neilson, R. P.; O'Halloran, K.; Peterson, D. L. 2009. Adapting to climate change in United States national forests. Unasylva 231/232. 60(1-2): 57-62.

Innes, John; Joyce, Linda A.; Kellomaki, Seppo; Louman, Bastiaan; Ogden, Aynslie; Parrotta, John; Thompson, Ian; Ayres, Matthew; Ong, Chin; Santoso, Heru; Sohngen, Brent; Wreford, Anita 2009. Management for adaptation. In: Seppala, Risto; Buck, Alexander; Katila, Pia, eds. Adaptation of forests and people to climate change. A Global Assessment Report. IUFRO World Series Volume 22. Helsinki, Finland: IUFRO: 135-186.

Joyce, Linda A.; Blate, Geoffrey M.; McNulty, Steven G.; Millar, Constance I.; Moser, Susanne; Neilson, Ronald P.; Peterson, David L. 2009. Managing for multiple resources under climate change: National forests. Environmental Management 44:1022-1032.

Osman-Elasha, Balgis; Parrotta, John; Adger, Neil; Brockhaus, Maria; Colfer, Carol J. Pierce; Sohngen, Brent; Dafalla, Tallaat; Joyce, Linda A.; Johnson, Nkem; Robledo, Carmenza 2009. Future socio-economic impacts and vulnerabilities. In: Seppala, Risto; Buck, Alexander; Katila, Pia, eds. Adaptation of forests and people to climate change. A Global Assessment Report. IUFRO World Series Volume 22. Helsinki, Finland: IUFRO: 101-122.

Water and Watersheds

Hayward, Gregory D.; Flather, Curtis H.; Uloth, Erin; Safford, Hugh D.; Cleaves, David A. 2009. Managing fish and wildlife habitat in the face of climate change: USDA Forest Service Perspective. In: Transactions of the 74th North American Wildlife and Natural Resources Conference; March 16-20, 2009; Arlington, VA. Washington, D.C.: Wildlife Management Institute. p. 98-109.

Isaak, D.J., C. Luce, B.E. Rieman, D. Nagel, E. Peterson, D. Horan, S. Parkes, and G. Chandler. In Press. Effects of climate change and recent wildfires on stream temperature and thermal habitats for two salmonids in a mountain river network. Ecological Applications.

Luce, C. H.; Holden, Z. A. 2009. Declining annual streamflow distributions in the Pacific Northwest United States, 1948-2006. Geophysical Research Letters. 36: L16401. doi:10.1029/2009GL039407. 6 p.

Rieman, Bruce E.; Isaak, Daniel; Adams, Susan; Horan, Dona; Nagel, David; Luce, Charles; Myers, Deborah 2007. Anticipated climate warming effects on bull trout habitats and populations across the interior Columbia River basin. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society. 136: 1552-1565.

Assessments

Condition of Forest and Rangeland Resources (RPA Climate Change)

Bosworth, Dale; Birdsey, Richard; Joyce, Linda; Millar, Constance 2008. Climate Change and the Nation's Forests: Challenges and Opportunities. Journal of Forestry 106(4):214-221.

Joyce, LA. 2007. Climate Change Impacts on Forestry. Chapter 14. In: DM Adams and RW Haynes. Resource and Market Projections for Forest Development: Twenty Five years' Experience with the US RPA Timber Assessment. Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer: 451-490.

Joyce, LA. 2008. Forestry, Ecosystems, and Wildlife. IN: Ozzello, Lori (ed.), Citizens’ Guide to Colorado Climate Change. Colorado Foundation for Water Education, Denver, Colorado: pages 36-38

Joyce LA. 2003. Improving the flow of scientific information across the interface of forest science and policy. Forest Policy Econ 5:239-247

Joyce, Linda; Aber, John; McNulty, Steve; Dale, virginia; Hansen, Andrew; Irland, Lloyd; Neilson, Ron; Skog, Kenneth 2001. Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the forests of the United States. In: National Assessment Synthesis Team (eds.) Chapter 17 (pp.489-524). Climate Change Impacts on the United States. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge.

Joyce, Linda A.; Nungesser, Martha 2000. Ecosystem productivity and the impact of climate change. In: Joyce, Linda A.; Birdsey, Richard, technical editors. 2000. The impact of climate change on America's forests. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-59. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. p. 45-68.

Perez-Garcia J, Joyce LA, McGuire AD, Xiao X. 2002. Impacts of climate change on the global forest sector. Climatic Change 53:439-461