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Managing risk with chance-constrained programming

Bevers, Michael; Kent, Brian. 2007. Managing risk with chance-constrained programming. In: Martin, W.E.; Raish, C.; Kent, B., eds. Wildfire risk: human perceptions and management implications. Washington, DC: Resources for the Future: 212-225.

Reducing catastrophic fire risk is an important objective of many fuel treatment programs (Kent et al. 2003; Machlis et al. 2002; USDA/USDI 2001a). In practice, risk reductions can be accomplished by lowering the probability of a given loss to forest fires, the amount of probable loss, or both. Forest fire risk objectives are seldom quantified, however, making it difficult to compare alternative management options. Instead, fuel treatment programs are often selected based on expert judgment.

Keywords: catastrophic fire risk, fuel treatment programs

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Title: RMRS Other Publications: Managing risk with chance-constrained programming
Electronic Publish Date: April 7, 2009
Last Update:
April 7, 2009

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