Rocky Mountain Research Station Publications

RMRS Online Publication - Journal Articles, External Publications, and Special Reports
Constrained range expansion and climate change assessments

Carmel, Yohay; Flather, Curtis H. 2006. Constrained range expansion and climate change assessments. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 4:178-179.

Modeling the future distribution of keystone species has proved to be an important approach to assessing the potential ecological consequences of climate change (Loehle and LeBlanc 1996; Hansen et al. 2001). Predictions of range shifts are typically based on empirical models derived from simple correlative relationships between climatic characteristics of occupied and unoccupied sites (Pearson and Dawson 2003; Scheffer et al. 2005). Using such models to predict species response to climate change assumes that climate exerts a major, if not the dominant, control on where species occur across a region (Scheffer et al. 2005). Although this assumption is often accompanied by the recognition that other factors (eg interspecific interactions, dispersal barriers, population adaptation) can affect future distributions (Loehle and LeBlanc 1996), it is rare to see an examination of how predicted species responses may change if factors other than climate are important in shaping future distributions.

Keywords: climate change, range shifts, models

About PDFs: For best results, do not open the PDF in your Web browser. Right-click on the PDF link to download the PDF file directly to your computer. Click here for more PDF help.

Download Article

PDF File Size: 90 K

Title: RMRS Other Publications: Constrained range expansion and climate change assessments
Electronic Publish Date: August 31, 2007
Last Update:
August 31, 2007

RMRS Publications | Order a publication | Contact Us