Habitat relationships of the marbled murrelet
The marbled murrelet is federally listed as Threatened throughout its
range in Washington, Oregon, and California. Like the spotted owl, the
marbled murrelet was another of the major drivers behind creation of the
Northwest Forest Plan. Research on the marbled murrelet, and the management
implications of this research, have direct affects on the people and economy
of the Pacific Northwest. The team conducts research in three topics:
use of radar as a monitoring tool, inland habitat relationships, and relationships
of forest structure to rates of nest predation. The team is the lead investigator
in portions of a broader evaluation of radar as a monitoring tool. In
collaboration with another scientist (a senior associate with a private
firm), studies are underway to investigate how numbers of murrelet targets
vary in relation to time of day, month, and location. Results of this
work will be used to conduct power analyses with the ultimate goal to
determine how radar counts might be used to derive an annual estimate
of murrelet population size or population trend based on subsets of the
population. Results of this work will be used to determine how radar counts
could provide an independent assessment of population trend complimentary
to population monitoring from at-sea surveys. In conjunction with this
work, the team has lead responsibility for a comparison of radar-based
counts with simultaneous at-sea population estimates in waters adjacent
to the radar stations. Similar work has never been done and a large number
of technical hurdles must be overcome to achieve success. For example,
we do not know how large an area along the coast must be sampled to reflect
the source population of murrelets flying inland through a particular
drainage, nor do we know if this area changes over time as the nesting
season progresses. Results of this work, if successful, will lead to improved
techniques for effectiveness monitoring of murrelet population trend.
The objective of the inland habitat research is to understand how the
amount and distribution of nesting habitat influences nesting behavior
and population size of murrelets. For this landscape-level study, the
team compares rates of detection and occupancy by murrelets in three large
drainages varying from slightly fragmented to highly fragmented. Habitat
attributes are measured at occupied and unoccupied sites and Geographic
Information System analyses are used to assess large-scale patterns of
habitat around each site. At a smaller scale, we are compiling existing
ground-based vegetation data and measuring additional vegetation features
within stands that have been surveyed for murrelet activity. With collaborators
throughout the listed range of the murrelet, we are designing predictive
models to identify habitat characteristics measured at the stand scale
Wildlife Ecology Team Problem Analysis October 10, 2002 Page 23 of 33
that are associated with sites occupied by murrelets compared with sites
where no murrelet activity was detected. Subsequently, we will test how
closely independent models developed from known nest sites match those
for occupied sites, to assess if the assumption that occupied sites represent
nest sites is valid. These models are a precursor to, and form the basis
of, murrelet habitat maps (see below under Survey and Monitoring Protocols).
Results of this work, which will be published in peer-reviewed literature,
will lead to better metrics for classifying nesting habitat of the murrelet.
The team is a member of a larger group of cooperators investigating
rates of predation on simulated murrelet nests in relation to stand structure,
proximity to human activity, and forest fragmentation. Members of the
team include a faculty member at the University of Washington, 2 senior
scientists affiliated with private firms, and a senior scientist with
the Washington Department of Natural Resources. Nest predation is thought
to be a limiting factor on productivity of the marbled murrelet. Previous
research with forest birds in the eastern U.S. suggests that forest fragmentation
leads to higher rates of predation. The current research, the first of
its kind on the murrelet, was initiated to test that hypothesis. The team
participates in study design, analysis of results, and interpretation
of results. We have lead responsibility for mapping and analyzing patterns
of habitat surrounding each of the 354 artificial nests. Results of this
work have been presented in meetings of scientific societies and will
be published in journals. The primary utility of the work will be a better
understanding of relationships between pattern of habitat (size of patches
and amount and type of edge), habitat structure (old forest, younger multi-stories
forest, young forest with simple structure), and human activity (areas
of concentrated activity such as campgrounds) and fitness of the murrelet
as estimated by risk of predation. This will lead to better formulations
of habitat capability models that might predict numbers and productivity
of murrelets in relation to habitat pattern and human activity.
Team lead: Martin G. Raphael and Thomas Bloxton
Cooperators: Brian A. Cooper, ABR, Inc.; John M. Marzluff, University
of Washington; Daniel E. Varland, Rayonier Timberlands; Leonard S. Young
and Scott P. Horton, Washington DNR; Steven P. Courtney, National Council
for Air and Stream Improvement; Sherri Miller and Jim Baldwin, Pacific
Southwest Research Station; Tim Max, Pacific Northwest Research Station;
Patrick Jodice and Ken Ostrom, USFWS; S. Kim Nelson, Oregon State University.
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