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> Abstract: Sohngen et al 1998
Sohngen, B.; Mendelsohn, R.; Neilson, R. 1997. Predicting CO2
emissions from forests during climatic change: a comparison of natural
and human response models. Ambio. 27(7): 509-513.
This paper compares transient carbon fluxes to and from forests during
climatic change in a pure natural model of ecosystem adjustment and also
in a model that captures the human response to these changes. Both models
incorporate forest dieback and regeneration, forest redistribution, and
changes in ecosystem production during climatic change. The natural model
predicts that forested ecosystems in the United States will release 2.5
to 6.3 petragrams (trillion kilograms) of carbon during the next 7 decades
under climatic change. The model including human response shows that markets
will mitigate, and even reverse, these fluxes by managing some forests
for timber and storing carbon in wood products.