BrasilFire
1998
Proposal
and Work Plan
January 26,
1998
Background
The Fire
and Environmental Applications Research (FERA) Team (PNW) is continuing
research in Brazil that started in 1993 as part of the Fire and Environmental
Change project (PNW/PSW), as outlined in the implementing documentation
for the USFS/IBAMA MOU. Funding for BRASILFIRE has been shared between
Forest Service Research appropriations (65%) and a combination of USDA Forest
Service, International Programs, and USAID
funds (35%), although Forest Service Research funds are less in FY98.
Brazil provides the opportunity for fire research and development in
tropical ecosystems to complete a transect (i.e. the Transect of the
Americas) of replicated studies in the boreal forests of interior Alaska
and in temperate ecosystems in the western United States and Mexico.
FERA involves
scientists at the
Our principal
counterparts in Brazil have been
The fire program
has also been closely aligned with fire managers in both countries (i.e.
PREVFOGO).
In FY97, FERA
completed and published manuscripts on evergreen tropical forest flammability
and on rural community to air toxics in smoke in Rondonia. We completed
fuels inventory and photography of 11 photo series sites at Emas National
Park for new cerrado-region vegetation types. We initiated a new partnership
with a Brazilian team lead by Dr. Joao Andrade de Carvalho from INPE.
Three experimental burns were conducted in Alta Floresta, Mato Grosso,
to study biomass combustion, fire physics, and flammability of the interface
of the primary forest and deforested areas. We continued the methodological
development of a fire risk model based on forest physiology, fire weather,
and climate scenarios. We conducted the flammability experiments in
primary forest in Alta Floresta to monitor fuel moisture drying rates,
microclimate, and conducted small scale burns.
Objectives
BRASILFIRE has
three principal components in each of the tropical ecosystems (i.e.
in the Cerrado (including Campos and Cerradao), tropical forest (including
evergreen, deciduous, and transitional types), Atlantic forest, and
caatinga):
- Fire Risk Assessment
-- Assess the likelihood of fire occurrence and severity that
threatens human values and/or ecosystem integrity, and how that
risk would change with different climates, land-use patterns, and
alternative management strategies. Each risk assessment involves
a development of inventory techniques such as the photo series,
development of models that predict fuel moisture from microclimate
and vegetation structure, and models that predict biomass consumption
and fire behavior in free-burning fires. Those results are used
to develop a flammability model for each ecosystem and an
extensive inventory of the conditions within each bioclimatic
region. Finally, scenarios will be applied to assess the future
risk under changing conditions.
- Smoke Impact Assessment
-- The smoke from the widespread burning in the tropical forest
and the cerrado in Brazil cause widespread regional air pollution,
significant contributions to greenhouse gas buildup in the global
atmosphere, and constitute a serious human health risk. FERA collaborates
with Phil Riggan (Pacific Southwest
Research Station) Darold Ward (Missoula
Fire Sciences Laboratory), and Joao Andrade de Carvalho (INPE)
by providing ground-truth support for the inventory and measurement
of biomass combustion, air pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions.
FERA has the lead for assessing human exposures and health risks,
although that is not expected to be an emphasis in FY98. The large
fires of 1997 in Brazil renewed interest and concern over the smoke
and its effect on public health and welfare. Continued interest
by the Brazilian government may lead to large support and a continuation
of the original effort.
- Ecological Role of
Fire -- Fire plays a critical role in defining the transitional
ecotone between the tropical forest and the cerrado, in maintaining
the structure composition, and productivity of the various types
of cerrado, and the structure of certain tropical forest types in
the upper Amazon basin. Fire threatens the integrity of M. Atlantica
and most M. Amazonica forests and some forests/woodlands that are
habitat for endangered species (such as the Golden
Tamarin Monkey). Cultural practices and climate change threaten
to change the role of fire in all of these cases, and knowledge
is insufficient at present to predict the ecological consequences
of these changes. FERA is working with several other institutions
to contribute to the basic and applied knowledge of the role of
fire in these systems, and is supporting the Ph.D. research of Gustavo
Negreiros.
Research
Activities
Priority
One, $30-$60K, Cerrado -- Our first priority is to complete the
photo series and biomass consumption modeling in the cerrado ecosystems.
We will participate in authoring a book on the ecology of the ecosystems
and submit a progress report to our supporting agencies in the two countries.
We will complete the analysis and integrate the results of the fuel
inventory and fire effects studies at our principal research sites at
the IBGE Reserve,
Aguas Emendadas, and Emas
National Park. The final set of 11 photo series sites will be inventoried
and photographed in Chapada
da Diamantina in the state of Bahia during the summer of 1998. These
additional sites will complete the final phase of the photo series on
the cerrado ecosystems with over 50 sites inventoried. The sites cover
a transect of the moisture gradient within the cerrado ecosystems. A
graduate student from the University of
Brasilia will continue training in on fuels inventory with FERA’s
field crew in the United States during the summer of 1998. We will start
preparing the publication of the cerrado photo series in both English
and Portuguese. We anticipate to finish the final report in 1999. In
consultation with our Brazilian counterparts, we will develop a plan
for the continuation of the photo series work to other Brazilian ecosystems.
Priority
Two, $30-$90K ($60-$150K cumulative), Mata Amazonica/Cerrado Transition
-- FERA will continue
our investigation of the role of fire, biomass combustion, and fire
risk assessment in the “Arc of Deforestation." The 1998 field campaign
for this priority will be concentrated in Alta Floresta in the state
of Mato Grosso
in partnership with the Combustion
and Propulsion Laboratory of the Instituto Nacional do Pesquisas Espacias
(INPE). We will conduct the field and laboratory experiments on
flammability and biomass combustion during the spring and summer of
this year. Flammability experiments will be established on undisturbed
primary forest , and on the edges of pastures and an experimental 2-ha
slash burn. During the dry season we will monitor fuel moisture, microclimate,
regional weather, fuel loading, canopy closure, and fire behavior that
will allow us to identify the conditions necessary to sustain fire spread
in closed-canopy forests in the Amazon forest. The purpose of establishing
the flammability experiment on the edge of the biomass combustion experimental
burns is also to measure the effect of heating from burning in adjacent
clearings on the flammability of primary forest fuels. We will also
test existing models for rating flammability in temperate forests under
tropical conditions in the Amazon.
The study on
combustion of topical biomass will be conducted in two 2-ha plots that
will be inventoried and harvested during the spring of 1998. One plot
will be burned during 1998. The second plot will be allowed to cure
one more year and will be burn in the summer of 1999. The study’s outcome
will be to develop predictive equations for the consumption of woody
biomass by fires in the Brazilian Amazon. We will test predictive equations
developed by the FERA team
in Amazon slash burning in land clearings. We will develop and test
a theoretical model for the consumption of woody debris in Amazon forests.
A set of laboratory experiments on tropical biomass combustion will
be conducted at INPE’s
facilities in Cachoeira Paulista as well. The study results will improve
the smoke emission estimates currently used for the Amazon burning and
also will provide an estimate the amount of carbon sequestered in charcoal.
We intend to
select sites to start the photo series development in Mata Amazonica
in Alta Floresta and FLONA Tapajos. Arrangement for authorization and
logistic support will be made with farm owners and FLONAS’s officers
to begin the photo series work. We expect to complete the work in four
years. We will continue the development of a fire risk model through
the incorporation of data collected from previous year’s field campaigns,
satellite imagery, soils, climate and vegetation data from Santana do
Araguaia and Paragominas in the state of Para,
and Alta Floresta in Mato
Grosso. The outcome of this cooperative work with INPE
will lead to the development of a fire-danger rating capability to anticipate
the flammability of tropical forests and savannas, better guidelines
for controlling the effects of fires in the Amazon Region, and an improved
estimate of the carbon released and carbon sequestered by tropical ecosystems.
Priority
Three, $30-$60K ($90-210K cumulative), M. Amazonica--Tapajos National
Forest-- At this level of funding, FERA will begin the fire risk
assessment and ecological assessment of fire in central Amazonia, collaborating
with the International
Institute of Tropical Forestry and the Tropical Forest Foundation
to develop the intensive-site investigation into the ecology of secondary
forests and the effect of low-impact harvesting there. The study is
planned to be carried during the entire dry season and will last for
four years to be able to capture the year-to-year variability. The fire
risk assessment will complement the ecological and economical benefit
analysis conducted by the Tropical Forestry Foundation (TFF) and International
Institute of Tropical Forestry (IITF) on low-impact harvesting at
the FLONA Tapajos.
Ordinarily,
undisturbed tropical rain forest is considered a fireproof ecosystem.
We have learned from previous field campaigns and problem analysis that
primary and secondary forests in the Amazon region become flammable
only after periods of a few weeks without precipitation allowing the
surface fuels to dry out enough to carry fire. Severe fire can only
occur during sustained drought when the standing vegetation, woody debris,
and ground fuels (primarily rotten trunks) become dry enough to sustain
smoldering combustion once ignited by a surface fire. In normally drier
subregions, trees shed leaves to conserve moisture during very dry periods,
allowing more light and wind to penetrate the canopy and hasten the
drying of fuels. Yet, poorly known and probably variable by region are
the effects of deforestation and logging on fire vulnerability of the
primary and secondary forests. Our experience from the state of Para
is that partial harvesting has the same effect of hastening the flammability
of the surface fuels and the drying rate of the woody debris that control
fire severity. However, traditional selective logged forest becomes
more flammable and reaches dangerous levels faster than forest under
a Low-Impact Harvesting regime during the dry season.
This work will
assess the fire risk in a range of sites including primary and secondary
forests, in traditionally-harvested and “low-impact harvesting” trials.
Study plots will be established during the dry season to monitor fuel
moisture, microclimate, regional weather, fuel loading, canopy disturbance,
and fire behavior that will allow us to identify the conditions necessary
to sustain fire spread in closed-canopy forests and logged forest in
the Amazon. We will identify the thresholds of canopy disturbance, drought
severity, and ignition patterns that make the forests marginally flammable
and destructively flammable. Our plot design will be adapted to accommodate
the forest inventory plots being used for the ecological and economical
analysis of the FLONA Tapajos. Our study protocols include the ignition
of small plots during the dry season to compare the flammability condition
of undisturbed and disturbed forest.
Priority
Four -- Other opportunities: If the opportunity arises, including
outside funding and a continuation of Brazilian and Bolivian collaborator
interest, FERA will initiate
or resume work in the following areas:
- Community Health Impacts
from Smoke Exposure
- Fire Risk Assessment
in Mata. Atlantica, and
- Tocantins Ecotones Study
in collaboration with MMA
- Extension of our fire
work into the Bolivian Amazon and savannas. We will consider extending
our work to Bolivia if enough financial and logistic support is
provided by USAID/USFS International Programs and the Bolivia’s
government officials to ensure a successful program there. We will
also establish liaisons in Brazil to investigate the climatology
of the region needed to provide the comprehensive regional fire
risk assessment and global change assessment for the tropics.
Long
Term Plans
FERA will continue
collaborative research and development in Brazil as long as interest
and funding is available, hopefully for ten years or more. BRASILFIRE
represents about 10% of total FERA research and development. We enjoy
a durable partnership with IBAMA, Universidad da Brasilia, and INPE,
and are seeking other cooperators. BRASILFIRE is critical to fulfilling
our mission of providing fire risk assessments, global change assessments,
and air pollution impact assessments that can be applied consistently
to any location in the world. It contributes to our domestic mission
by providing an independent environment to test theories and models
developed for temperate ecosystems, by attracting world-class cooperators
that bring intellectual excellence to our domestic agenda, and by providing
an efficient field laboratory that is simply not available in the United
States. All of the models and assessments developed in Brazil will be
equally applicable domestically. Ancillary benefits include knowledge
and systems being made available to forest management and environmental
quality improvement in Brazil, maintenance of world leadership in the
modeling of vegetation systems response to environmental stress, and
support for international policy analysis.
Products
Research
Publications -- FERA will continue to publish preliminary results
at international symposia and final results in refereed journals. Joint
authorship with Brazilian counterparts is sought on all publications.
Science and
Management Reports -- All findings and management implications are
interpreted in products such as videotapes, brochures, guidebooks, and
user manuals targeted specifically to the end-user. FERA has developed
an array of Portuguese-language products for use by our cooperators.
Modeling
and Expertise -- FERA provides unique expertise and modeling skills
in the science of wildland fire, climatology, and air quality to interdisciplinary
teams. In turn, we gain access to the ecological, sociological, and
policy expertise of our partners. Together, we provide a rigorous, global,
consistent capacity to conduct scientific assessments in support of
policy analysis.
Last updated:
January 28, 1998