USDA Forest Service

Fire and Environmental Research Applications Team


Fire and Environmental Research Applications Team
Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences Laboratory

400 N 34th Street, Suite 201
Seattle, WA 98103

(206) 732-7800

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Regional Likelihood of Very Large Wildfires Over the 21st Century Across the Western United States: Motivation to Study Individual Events Like the Rim Fire, a Unique Opportunity With Unprecedented Remote Sensing Data

Using regression models, Stavros and others--including FERA's Don McKenzie--project the likelihood of very large wildfires (VLWF) across the western United States using two representative concentration pathways. Results show a significant difference between the historical modeled ensemble mean probability of a VLWF occurrence from 1979 to 2010 and mean probability during 2031 to 2060. Airborne data at high spectral and spatial resolution, unparalleled by any satellite data, provide a unique opportunity to cross-reference remote measurements collected from different technologies to assess VLWF characteristics specifically related to fire behavior and fuel dynamics.

This extended abstract was published in the Proceedings of the Large Fires Conference, held in Missoula, Montana in 2014.

Evaluating Crown Fire Rate of Spread Predictions form Physics-Based Models

Authors used a published set of field-scale measured crown fire rate of spread (ROS) data to provide a coarse assessment of crown fire ROS predictions from previously published studies that have used WFDS or FIRETEC. Overall, 86% of all simulated ROS values using WFDS or FIRETEC fell within the 95% prediction interval of the empirical data, which was above the goal of 75% for dynamic ecological modeling

Measurements Relating Fire Radiative Energy Radiative Density and Surface Fuel Consumption--RxCADRE 2011 and 2012

This paper accepted by the International Iournal of Wildland Fire presents field and remotely-sensed measures of pre-fire fuel loads, consumption, fire radiative energy density and fire radiative power flux density, from which energy density is integrated, across forested and non-forested RxCADRE 2011 and 2012 burn blocks.

Glacier Mass Balance Responds to Interannual and Interdecadal Climatic Variability: A 350-Year Reconstructions in Washington, USA

Mountain hemlock growth chronologies were used to reconstruct the mass balance of South Cascade Glacier, an alpine glacier in the North Cascade Range of Washington State. At the current rate of decline, from 2000 to 2009, in the reconstructed balance recorder has been faster than any decline in a century. This decreasing trend is projected to continue with increasing temperatrues, and will likely affect glacier-influenced water resources in the Pacific Northwest.

arrowModeling Regional-Scale Wildland Fire Emissions with the Wildland Fire Emissions Information System

Carbon modeling tools are becoming more comprehensive, making maps of carbon emissions from fire more accurate and timely. The Wildland Fire Emissions Information System (WFEIS) provides mapped estimates of carbon emissions from forest, rangeland, and agricultural fires anywhere in the United States through a web interface, using open-source software. WFEIS provides a consistent approach to estimating emissions at landscape, regional, and continental scales




Fuel and Fire Tools (FFT)

Fuel Characteristic Classification System (FCCS)


GIS Layers for Mapping Fuelbeds

Consume 3.0

Digital Photo Series

Fire Emission Production System (FEPS)

Pile Calculator

Photo Series


Software Tutorials for FCCS, Consume 3.0, the Natural Fuels Photo Series, and FEPS








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