Climate Change Atlas

Publications by Year

2013

Iverson, L. and D. McKenzie. 2013. Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate - detecting, modeling, assisting. Landscape Ecology 28:879-889. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/43455

Pedlar, J. H., D. W. McKenney, I. Aubin, L. R. Iverson, R. S. Winder, C. Ste-Marie, and G. A. O’neill. 2013. Extreme climate variability should be considered in forestry assisted migration: A reply. BioScience 63:317-318. http://www.bioone.org/doi/pdf/10.1525/bio.2013.63.5.21

Prasad, A. M., J. Gardiner, L. Iverson, S. Matthews, and M. Peters. 2013. Exploring tree species colonization potentials using a spatially explicit simulation model: implications for four oaks under climate change. Global Change Biology 19: 2196–2208. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/43705/

2012

Brandt, L., C. Swanston, L. Parker, M. Janowiak, R. Birdsey, L. Iverson, D. Mladenoff, and P. Butler. 2012. Climate change science applications and needs in forest ecosystem management: a workshop organized as part of the northern Wisconsin Climate Change Response Framework Project. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-GTR-95, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station, Newtown Square, PA. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/40680

Iverson, L., S. Matthews, A. Prasad, M. Peters, and G. Yohe. 2012. Development of risk matrices for evaluating climatic change responses of forested habitats. Climatic Change 114:231-243. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/41221

Pedlar, J. H., D. W. McKenney, I. Aubin, T. Beardmore, J. Beaulieru, L. R. Iverson, G. A. O'Neill, R. S. Winder, and C. Ste-Marie. 2012. Placing forestry in the assisted migration debate. BioScience 62:835–842. http://www.bioone.org/doi/abs/10.1525/bio.2012.62.9.10

Vose, J. M., D. L. Peterson, and T. Patel-Weynand. 2012. Effects of Climatic Variability and Change on Forest Ecosystems:A Comprehensive Science Synthesis for the U.S. Forest Sector. General Technical Report PNW-GTR-870, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forest Service, Portland, Oregon. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/42610

Yaussy, D., L. Iverson , and S. N. Matthews. 2013. Competition and climate affects US hardwood-forest tree mortality. Forest Science 59:416-430. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/44347.

2011

Iverson, L., A. M. Prasad, S. Matthews, and M. Peters. 2011. Lessons learned while integrating habitat, dispersal, disturbance, and life-history traits into species habitat models under climate change Ecosystems 14:1005-1020. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/38757

Matthews, S. N., L. R. Iverson, A. M. Prasad, and M. P. Peters. 2011. Potential habitat changes of 147 North American bird species to redistribution of vegetation and climate following predicted climate change. Ecography 260:1460-1472.  http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/39841

Matthews, S. N., L. R. Iverson, A. M. Prasad, M. P. Peters, and P. G. Rodewald. 2011. Modifying climate change habitat models using tree species-specific assessments of model uncertainty and life history factors. Forest Ecology and Management 262:1460-1472. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/38643

Swanston, C., M. Janowiak, L. Iverson, L. Parker, D. Mladenoff, L. Brandt, P. Butler, M. St. Pierre, A. M. Prasad, S. Matthews, M. Peters, and D. Higgins. 2011. Ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis: a report from the Climate Change Response Framework Project in northern Wisconsin., U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station, Newtown Square, PA. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/38255

2010

Hellmann, J. J., K. J. Nadelhoffer, L. R. Iverson, L. Ziska, S. N. Matthews, P. Myers, A. M. Prasad, and M. P. Peters. 2010. Climate Change Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystems in the Chicago Region. Great Lakes Research 36:74-85. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/35555

Iverson, L., A. M. Prasad, S. N. Matthews, and M. Peters. 2010. Merger of three modeling approaches to assess potential effects of climate change on trees in the eastern United States. Page 6 in IUFRO Landscape Ecology International Conference, Sept. 21-27, 2010. Azevedo, J.C., M. Feliciano, J. Castro & A. Pinto (Eds.) 2010. Forest Landscapes and Global Change - New Frontiers in Management, Conservation and Restoration. Proceedings of the IUFRO Landscape Ecology Working Group International Conference, September 21-27, 2010, Bragança, Portugal. 741pp. ISBN: 978-972-745-110-4, Bragança, Portugal. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/36584

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, S. N. Matthews, M. P. Peters, and C. Hoover. 2010. Potential changes in habitat suitability under climate change: Lessons learned from 15 years of species modelling. Pages 1-10 in XIII World Forestry Congress, Buenos Aires. Argentina. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/34609

Svenning, J.-C., M. C. Fitzpatrick, S. Normand, C. H. Graham, P. B. Pearman, L. R. Iverson, and F. Skov. 2010. Geography,topography and history affect realized-to-potential tree species richness patterns in Europe. Ecography 33:1070-1080. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2010.06301.x/full

2009

Iverson, L., A. Prasad, S. Matthews, and M. Peters. 2009. Potential changes in tree habitat for Illinois under climate change. Pages 263-270 in J. Taft, editor. Canaries in the Catbird Seat, Chapter 16. Illinois Natural History Survey Special Publication 30, Champaign, Illinois. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/34547

Mohan, J., R. Cox, and L. Iverson. 2009. Northeastern forest composition and carbon dynamics in a future, warmer world. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 39:213-230. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/34769

Prasad, A., L. Iverson, S. Matthews, and M. Peters. 2009. Atlases of tree and bird species habitats for current and future climates. ecological restoration 27:260-263. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/34550

2008

Chiang, J.-M., L. R. Iverson, A. Prasad, and K. J. Brown. 2008. Effects of climate change and shifts in forest composition on forest net primary production. Journal of Integrative Plant Biology 50:1426–1439. http://nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/9026

Hayhoe, K., J. Hellman, B. Lesht, K. Nadelhoffer, D. Wuebbles, and Iverson-Prasad-Matthews-Peters. 2008. Climate change and Chicago: projections and potential impacts. . http://www.chicagoclimateaction.org/pages/research___reports/48.php

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, and S. N. Matthews. 2008. Modeling potential climate change impacts on the trees of the northeastern United States. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 13:487-516. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/15295

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, S. N. Matthews, and M. Peters. 2008. Estimating potential habitat for 134 eastern US tree species under six climate scenarios. Forest Ecology and Management 254:390-406. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/13412

Rodenhouse, N. L., S. N. Matthews, K. P. McFarland, J. D. Lambert, L. R. Iverson, A. M. Prasad, T. S. Sillett, and R. T. Homes. 2008. Potential effects of climate change on birds of the Northeast. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 13:517-540. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/15296

2007

Frumhoff, P. C., J. J. McCarthy, J. M. Mellilo, S. C. Moser, and D. J. a. I. Wuebbles. 2007. Confronting climate change in the U.S. Northeast: science, impacts, and solutions. Synthesis report of the Northeast Climate Impacts Assessment (NECIA). Union of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA. http://www.climatechoices.org/assets/documents/climatechoices/confronting-climate-change-in-the-u-s-northeast.pdf

Iverson, L. R., Matthews, S., M. Peters, and A. Prasad. 2007. Uprooted: potential changes in tree habitat under climate change. Estuary News 17:12. http://www.delawareestuary.org/pdf/EstuaryNews/2007/WinterNews07.pdf

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, S. N. Matthews, and M. P. Peters. 2007. Potential impacts of climate change on birds and trees of the eastern United States: newest climate scenarios and species abundance modelling techniques. Pages 925-926 in R. G. H. Bunce, R. H. G. Jongman, and L. W. Hojas, S., editors. 25 Years of Landscape Ecology: Scientific Principles in Practice. Proceedings of the 7th IALE World Congress. International Association for Landscape Ecology, Wageningen, The Netherlands. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/14117

Matthews, S. N., L. R. Iverson, A. M. Prasad, and M. P. Peters. 2007. A Climate Change Atlas for Bird Species of the Eastern United States [database]. Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Delaware, Ohio. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/atlas/birds

Prasad, A. M., L. R. Iverson, S. Matthews, and M. Peters. 2007. A climate change atlas for 134 forest tree species of the eastern United States [database]. Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Delaware, OH. http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/atlas/tree

2006

Prasad, A. M., L. R. Iverson, and A. Liaw. 2006. Newer classification and regression tree techniques: bagging and random forests for ecological prediction. Ecosystems 9:181-199. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/22432

Schwartz, M. W., L. R. Iverson, A. M. Prasad, S. N. Matthews, and R. J. O'Connor. 2006. Predicting extinctions as a result of climate change. Ecology 87:1611-1615. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/24235

2005

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, and M. W. Schwartz. 2005. Predicting potential changes in suitable habitat and distribution by 2100 for tree species of the eastern United States. Journal of Agricultural Meteorology 61:29-37. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/20686

2004

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, and A. Liaw. 2004. New machine learning tools for predictive vegetation mapping after climate change: Bagging and Random Forest perform better than regression tree analysis. Pages 317-320 in R. Smithers, editor. Proceedings, UK-International Association for Landscape Ecology, Cirencester, UK. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/14112

Iverson, L. R., M. W. Schwartz, and A. Prasad. 2004. How fast and far might tree species migrate under climate change in the eastern United States? Global Ecology and Biogeography 13:209-219. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/9409

Iverson, L. R., M. W. Schwartz, and A. M. Prasad. 2004. Potential colonization of new available tree species habitat under climate change: an analysis for five eastern US species. Landscape Ecology 19:787-799. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/9408

Matthews, S., R. O'Connor, L. R. Iverson, and A. M. Prasad. 2004. Atlas of climate change effects in 150 bird species of the Eastern United States. USDA Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Newtown Square, PA. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/7514

 

2003

Iverson, L. R. and A. Prasad. 2003. Using FIA data to assess current and potential future tree species importance values in the Eastern United States. Pages 171-172 in R. E. McRoberts, G. A. Reams, P. C. Van Deusen, and J. W. Moser, editors. Proceedings of the Third Annual Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium. North Central Research Station, Forest Service U.S. Department of Agriculture, St. Paul, MN. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/14442

2002

Iverson, L. R. and A. M. Prasad. 2002. Potential redistribution of tree species habitat under five climate change scenarios in the eastern US. Forest Ecology and Management 155:205-222. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21915

2001

Brown, S., L. R. Iverson, and A. Prasad. 2001. Geographical Distribution of Biomass Carbon in Tropical Southeast Asian Forests: A Database. ORNL/CDIAC-119, NDP-068, Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, U.S. Department of Energy, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, U.S.A. http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/epubs/ndp/ndp068/ndp068.htm

Hansen, A. J., V. Dale, C. Flather, R. P. Neilson, P. Bartlein, L. Iverson, and D. Currie. 2001. Global change in forests: interactions among biodiversity, climate, and land use. BioScience 51:765-779. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/2763

Iverson, L. R. and A. M. Prasad. 2001. Potential changes in tree species richness and forest community types following climate change. Ecosystems 4:186-199. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21910

Schwartz, M. W., L. R. Iverson, and A. M. Prasad. 2001. Predicting the potential future distribution of four tree species in Ohio, USA, using current habitat availability and climatic forcing. Ecosystems 4:568-581. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21917

2000

DeHays, D. H., G. L. Jacobson, P. G. Schaber, B. Bongarten, L. R. Iverson, and A. Kieffenbacker-Krall. 2000. Forest responses to changing climate: lessons from the past and uncertainty for the future. Pages 495-540 in R. A. Mickler, R. A. Birdsey, and J. L. Hom, editors. Responses of northern forests to environmental change. Springer-Verlag, Ecological Studies Series vol. 139, New York, NY. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/14154

Easterling, M. M., D. R. DeWalle, L. R. Iverson, A. M. Prasad, A. Z. Rose, A. R. Buda, and Y. Cao. 2000. The potential impacts of climate change and variability on forests and forestry in the Mid-Atlantic Region. Climate Research 14:195-206. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21901

McNulty, S. G., J. A. Moore, L. R. Iverson, A. Prasad, R. Abt, B. Smith, G. Sun, M. Gavazzi, J. Bartlett, B. Murray, R. A. Mickler, and J. D. Aber. 2000. Application of linked regional scale growth, biogeography, and economic models for southeastern United States pine forests. World Resources Review 12:298-320. http://www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/14118

1999

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, B. J. Hale, and E. K. Sutherland. 1999. An atlas of current and potential future distributions of common trees of the eastern United States. General Technical Report NE-265. Northeastern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Radnor, PA. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/7662

Iverson, L. R., A. M. Prasad, and M. W. Schwartz. 1999. Modeling potential future individual tree-species distributions in the Eastern United States under a climate change scenario: a case study with Pinus virginiana. Ecological Modelling 115:77-93. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/22436

Prasad, A. M. and L. R. Iverson. 1999. A climate change atlas for 80 forest tree species of the eastern United States spatial database. USDA Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Delaware, OH. http://www.fs.fed.us/ne/delaware/atlas/index.html

1998

Iverson, L. R. and A. M. Prasad. 1998. Predicting abundance of 80 tree species following climate change in the eastern United States. Ecological Monographs 68:465-485. http://treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/21909