C:\GC\NS_STAT.htm


   Table 5. Calculated N-S ranges, shifts and estimated importance values 
   due to GISS and GFDL model forecasts.
   Scores of -99 indicate the species is projected to become absent in 
   the United States, while a score of 208 indicates
   the species abuts the Canadian border and a score of 70 indicates 
   the species abuts the Gulf of Mexico.
   See Figure 1 for approximate locations of the row numbers indicated; 
   each row corresponds to 10 km south to north.

	Southern optimum				Northern optimum				Latitudinal optimum				IV at optimum latitude
Species	FIA	Pred.	GISS	GFDL	FIA	Pred.	GISS	GFDL	FIA	Pred.	GISS	GFDL	FIA	Pred.	GISS	GFDL
Abies balsamea	191	135	199	-99	208	208	204	-99	200	180	202	-99	4.8	5.4	4.0	-99
Acer negundo	71	76	76	76	208	208	208	208	145	144	144	144	11.0	6.0	6.0	6.0
Acer pensylvanicum	118	143	166	166	208	208	203	203	170	177	182	182	6.2	7.4	3.0	3.0
Acer rubrum	104	104	70	70	208	208	208	199	156	156	147	127	20.2	15.6	8.3	4.9
Acer saccharinum	95	118	76	76	208	208	208	208	161	167	163	159	12.8	13.0	14.6	14.8
Acer saccharum	120	110	148	-99	208	208	208	-99	164	161	183	-99	16.2	12.8	10.0	-99
Betula alleghaniensis	109	146	191	-99	208	208	208	-99	169	182	200	-99	6.0	6.4	4.6	-99
Betula lenta	120	144	157	157	202	208	208	208	164	173	184	184	8.5	9.1	8.1	7.4
Betula papyrifera	179	188	-99	-99	208	207	-99	-99	198	198	-99	-99	6.6	11.0	-99	-99
Carpinus caroliniana	70	70	70	70	206	205	191	208	138	147	128	139	4.9	5.9	4.6	4.6
Carya cordiformis	96	140	140	140	208	208	208	208	161	174	174	174	6.0	4.9	5.0	4.9
Carya glabra	86	129	153	153	191	179	179	179	152	150	165	165	6.5	6.7	5.8	5.8
Carya ovata	132	110	110	110	208	208	208	207	174	167	167	167	10.5	6.2	6.6	6.5
Carya sp.	73	73	82	81	201	204	208	206	133	130	137	140	10.3	8.6	9.3	8.3
Carya tomentosa	76	76	76	76	194	208	208	208	137	134	145	146	6.8	6.1	6.1	6.1
Celtis laevigata	70	70	70	70	134	128	208	208	99	97	143	139	12.7	20.1	21.7	14.0
Celtis occidentalis	85	113	140	140	208	208	208	208	156	160	174	178	14.7	10.0	39.6	44.2
Cercis canadensis	86	104	121	121	183	182	208	208	140	143	170	170	5.3	4.3	4.6	4.6
Cornus florida	70	70	89	89	201	186	201	197	129	124	145	143	8.7	8.0	8.4	8.3
Crataegus sp.	70	153	194	185	208	208	203	203	147	182	198	194	7.8	8.5	12.7	8.7
Diospyros virginiana	70	70	80	80	161	156	208	208	116	116	148	149	4.8	6.3	6.6	6.4
Fagus grandifolia	71	103	102	102	208	208	208	163	155	164	144	132	9.3	9.8	7.6	6.2
Fraxinus americana	71	70	70	70	208	208	208	208	156	163	159	160	10.7	11.1	9.8	10.1
Fraxinus nigra	150	181	185	185	208	208	208	208	185	195	196	196	6.8	7.2	7.7	7.5
F. pennsylvanica	70	70	70	70	208	208	208	208	145	137	140	140	15.0	10.4	11.5	11.8
Fraxinus sp.	70	70	70	70	157	170	170	170	117	118	122	117	5.4	3.6	4.1	3.5
Gleditsia triacanthos	74	81	81	81	203	197	206	206	150	164	173	173	7.7	6.9	14.1	14.3
Ilex opaca	70	111	99	99	161	160	147	147	117	134	123	123	7.2	10.7	6.2	6.2
Juglans nigra	110	70	70	81	207	198	208	208	167	135	140	150	8.5	5.5	21.5	27.8
Juniperus virginiana	70	85	70	70	208	208	208	208	151	150	139	139	13.5	8.3	12.6	13.7
Liquidambar styraciflua	70	70	70	70	173	173	202	205	114	118	128	132	18.6	18.3	13.0	13.6
Liriodendron tulipifera	74	92	94	94	189	208	208	208	134	141	142	142	9.3	9.8	9.0	8.4
Maclura pomifera	93	70	70	71	189	202	201	208	146	143	134	144	12.2	15.6	18.0	18.7
Magnolia virginiana	70	70	70	70	168	168	126	138	114	109	97	101	5.4	5.2	10.8	11.0
Morus rubra	95	144	144	144	206	201	197	201	162	173	169	173	10.1	16.9	20.1	16.9
Nyssa aquatica	70	77	77	77	139	138	138	138	105	103	103	103	6.4	8.2	7.3	7.3
Nyssa biflora	70	70	70	70	143	195	160	162	101	123	112	113	12.3	9.3	17.6	17.5
Nyssa sylvatica	70	70	70	70	191	177	204	204	132	122	132	132	7.0	5.3	6.6	5.4
Ostrya virginiana	73	80	80	80	208	208	208	205	143	164	147	153	6.7	9.3	8.9	16.0
Oxydendrum arboreum	81	83	99	99	163	152	175	175	119	119	137	137	6.7	6.1	10.0	9.6
Pinus echinata	70	70	70	70	168	129	190	191	108	103	121	120	11.7	13.2	16.7	17.7
Pinus elliottii	70	70	70	70	115	91	127	127	90	79	95	98	12.6	13.1	17.9	19.0
Pinus palustris	70	70	70	70	114	111	154	180	93	92	104	121	9.6	7.2	8.9	10.3
Pinus resinosa	157	176	-99	-99	208	208	-99	-99	185	194	-99	-99	7.5	6.9	-99	-99
Pinus strobus	104	104	104	104	208	208	208	208	156	155	156	156	10.4	10.7	15.2	15.5
Pinus taeda	70	70	70	70	153	153	171	176	109	110	112	121	35.4	35.2	41.0	36.9
Pinus virginiana	89	75	91	93	169	204	187	190	126	126	137	140	11.6	7.5	11.6	14.5
Platanus occidentalis	72	86	86	86	191	171	177	202	134	127	137	140	6.2	5.5	9.3	9.6
Populus deltoides	128	145	145	145	208	208	208	208	173	177	175	177	27.1	26.4	21.8	28.8
Populus grandidentata	152	135	-99	-99	208	208	-99	-99	183	185	-99	-99	6.6	9.0	-99	-99
Populus tremuloides	162	135	205	-99	208	208	208	-99	188	186	206	-99	9.1	7.9	8.7	-99	-99
Prunus serotina	70	93	188	-99	208	208	208	-99	139	153	198	-99	8.0	7.7	10.3	-99	-99
Quercus alba	70	70	70	70	145	141	182	182	107	104	121	120	5.3	5.3	5.0	5.2
Quercus coccinea	70	70	73	71	158	158	196	198	111	111	136	139	6.7	5.5	7.0	6.9
Q. falcata var. falcata	100	92	95	95	208	208	208	208	154	150	155	154	13.1	9.5	11.9	13.7
Q. f. var. pagodaefolia	92	92	99	99	201	204	198	196	146	143	147	145	7.0	5.3	5.5	8.1
Quercus laurifolia	70	70	70	70	116	113	131	138	91	90	105	107	6.3	6.5	10.8	10.9
Quercus macrocarpa	148	156	156	156	208	208	208	208	180	183	182	182	18.6	20.7	15.3	15.3
Quercus marilandica	70	74	79	90	171	159	208	208	119	115	150	146	7.5	8.8	10.2	12.6
Quercus muehlenbergii	105	106	127	127	200	173	208	208	149	147	170	170	6.9	7.9	8.3	8.4
Quercus nigra	70	70	70	70	154	120	154	171	103	92	108	117	8.5	9.0	9.4	9.9
Quercus palustris	123	133	173	172	204	191	190	190	162	162	181	180	7.9	7.3	8.1	8.9
Quercus phellos	70	70	70	70	151	128	191	208	108	94	129	135	5.2	7.1	8.1	7.9
Quercus prinus	93	93	89	89	204	187	208	208	142	145	155	152	12.1	13.8	12.9	12.8
Quercus rubra	110	106	109	137	208	208	208	208	161	157	172	172	8.6	6.5	5.7	4.6
Quercus stellata	74	74	77	86	175	157	208	208	120	115	146	146	13.6	9.9	27.4	42.3
Quercus velutina	105	93	109	109	208	208	208	208	156	151	163	154	10.0	6.8	7.5	11.0
Robinia psuedoacacia	87	106	106	106	207	198	206	198	153	151	151	146	6.5	9.4	9.4	9.6
Salix nigra	123	164	164	164	208	207	207	207	173	184	184	184	10.9	20.3	20.3	20.3
Salix sp.	70	70	70	70	207	123	122	122	129	98	94	94	9.3	13.2	14.7	14.7
Sassafras albidum	79	95	95	95	206	208	182	208	150	148	138	145	6.9	5.9	6.2	6.3
Taxodium distichum	70	70	70	70	123	78	108	121	88	73	88	90	4.2	5.0	17.1	15.5
T. distichum var.nutans	70	70	70	70	145	193	193	193	105	110	110	110	7.1	6.4	5.0	5.0
Thuja occidentalis	194	144	-99	-99	208	208	-99	-99	201	188	-99	-99	8.6	7.0	-99	-99
Tilia americana	110	150	182	175	208	208	205	205	165	179	193	190	7.0	6.6	13.5	16.6
Tsuga canadensis	109	109	128	128	208	208	208	208	159	159	189	189	7.8	6.3	9.3	9.8
Ulmus alata	74	70	70	70	145	146	208	208	105	108	136	144	9.2	6.8	11.5	16.7
Ulmus americana	83	70	70	70	208	208	208	208	149	141	141	140	13.5	10.9	10.6	10.7
Ulmus rubra	78	80	70	70	208	208	208	208	156	144	142	135	8.0	5.0	9.1	13.2
Ulmus sp.	76	73	70	70	206	206	206	206	137	138	131	131	6.7	8.9	8.9	8.9