a_species page (black cherry - (Prunus serotina))

black cherry (Prunus serotina) Family: Rosaceae
Guild: opportunistic, fast-growing understory tolerant
Functional Lifeform: medium-size to large deciduous
Silvics Manual: Click here for black cherry
(Main Silvics Page: http://www.na.fs.fed.us/spfo/pubs/silvics_manual/table_of_contents.htm)

Life History Attributes & Disturbance Response

Ecological Attributes & Status of Species

Distribution Maps/Tables for black cherry:

Distribution Maps for black cherry: (Outputs will appear in new window)

Current-FIA

GISS

GFDL

Hadley

UKMO

CCC

Summary (All-5)

5-GCM Average

Distribution Tables for black cherry: (Outputs will appear in new window)

IV Change Average IV IV*Area Area Change Total Area(%) N-S Shift Potential Winners/Losers

Ecological Attributes and Status of black cherry:
(Output appears in Output Area: below)

Ecological Attributes Soil Elevation Climate

Output Area:

Prunus serotina Black Cherry Rosaceae

FIA distributions (1741 counties) quartiles: min 1st mean median 3rd max rank

Diameter, cm (16709 plots) 0.3 3.7 13.9 9.1 21.6 135.4 65

Growth Rate, cm2/yr (4138 plots) 0.1 7.8 18.9 15.1 25.7 333.9 37

Annual Temperature, �C 2.0 9.2 12.1 12.1 15.4 21.6 46

January Temperature, �C -18.5 -5.0 -0.6 -0.8 4.4 14.8 44

Precipitation, mm 452 943 1110 1110 1260 1930 43

Potential Evapotranspiration, mm/month 12.6 52.0 63.1 63.9 74.5 107.0 48

Maximum Elevation, m 6 190 392 316 457 2000 39

Slope, percent 0.0 3.9 10.2 7.8 13.5 51.0 41

pH 2.1 4.0 4.8 4.7 5.5 7.9 43

Permeability, cm/hr 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.7 3.3 14.2 30

Organic Matter, percent 0.8 1.7 3.6 2.3 3.8 28.5 32

Clay, percent 2.4 17.2 22.1 22.7 27.8 47.3 49

Water-Holding Capacity, cm/cm 3.1 6.1 7.5 7.1 8.9 13.7 39

Maps of Current FIA's IV, Predicted-Current IV (acc. to RTA Model) & Geographic Predictors

Maps of Predicted-Current IV, Predicted IV (GISS GCM), the Difference with Current & Potential Shifts (acc. to RTA Model)

Maps of Predicted-Current IV, Predicted IV (GFDL GCM), the Difference with Current & Potential Shifts (acc. to RTA Model

Maps of Predicted-Current IV, Predicted IV (Hadley GCM),the Difference with Current & Potential Shifts (acc. to RTA Model)

Maps of Predicted-Current IV, Predicted IV (UKMO GCM), the Difference with Current & Potential Shifts (acc. to RTA Model)

Maps of Predicted-Current IV, Predicted IV (CCC GCM), the Difference with Current & Potential Shifts (acc. to RTA Model)

Predicted IVs of Current & 5 GCM models for quick comparison

IV Change for all 5 Climate Change Scenarios

Average IV for all 5 Climate Change Scenarios

Area Weighted IV % change for all 5 Climate Change Scenarios

Area Change for all 5 Climate Change Scenarios

Percent of Total Area for all 5 Climate Change Scenarios

N-S Shift for all 5 Climate Change Scenarios

Sorted table of % Change of IV*Area averaged across all 5 Climate Change Scenarios

Statistical-range table of ecological attributes for some key variables

Chart of optimum IV range for pH and permeablility

Chart of optimum IV range for max. elevation and soil slope

Chart of optimum IV range for avg. annual temperature and annual precipitation

Average IV of all 5 GCMs.

FIA distributions (1741 counties) quartiles:	min	1st	mean	median	3rd	max	rank
Diameter, cm (16709 plots)	0.3	3.7	13.9	9.1	21.6	135.4	65
Growth Rate, cm2/yr (4138 plots)	0.1	7.8	18.9	15.1	25.7	333.9	37
Annual Temperature, �C	2.0	9.2	12.1	12.1	15.4	21.6	46
January Temperature, �C	-18.5	-5.0	-0.6	-0.8	4.4	14.8	44
Precipitation, mm	452	943	1110	1110	1260	1930	43
Potential Evapotranspiration, mm/month	12.6	52.0	63.1	63.9	74.5	107.0	48
Maximum Elevation, m	6	190	392	316	457	2000	39
Slope, percent	0.0	3.9	10.2	7.8	13.5	51.0	41
pH	2.1	4.0	4.8	4.7	5.5	7.9	43
Permeability, cm/hr	0.2	1.2	2.5	1.7	3.3	14.2	30
Organic Matter, percent	0.8	1.7	3.6	2.3	3.8	28.5	32
Clay, percent	2.4	17.2	22.1	22.7	27.8	47.3	49
Water-Holding Capacity, cm/cm	3.1	6.1	7.5	7.1	8.9	13.7	39