FSH 1909.17 - ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL ANALYSIS HANDBOOK
                                                           8/85 WO


                                                    Sec. 38.4, Exhibit 5


                                      Comparison of Social Effects of the Alternatives

                                                Alternative A           Alternative B               Alternative C
                                                (High Timber            (Low Cost and Amenity       (Low Cost, Grazing
                        No-Action Alternative   Departure)                    Emphasis)                  and Resort)       

County Seats            High population growth  Slight increase in      Population growth less      Similar to No-Action
                        but no major effects    population over         than No-Action.  No         Alternative in social
                        outside of communities' No-Action.  No major    significant effects.        effects, except for
                        ability to cope.        effects beyond                                      Pineville's growth
                                                coping capacity.                                    and some disruption
                                                                                                    there.

West Side Rural         Stability, but out-     Economic boom and       Major negative impacts      Negative economic and
Areas and               migration of young,     in-migration for first  because of mill closures.   community impacts, but
Communities             and other long-term     first 20 years.         All aspects of community    generally within ability
                        changes.                Problems from growth,   life impacted.  Depression  of communities and
                                                but prosperity helps    and out-migration.  Long-   families to cope.
                                                solve them.  Many       term effects severe.
                                                potential problems in
                                                downturn 25 years ahead.

East Side Rural Areas   Changing nature of      Timber activities in-   Ranching and forestry       Increased stability of
and Communities         community from ranch-   creased, visual         disappearing as viable      community from revital-
                        ing to retirement.      impacts on retirees     parts of community.         ization of ranching.
                        Conflicts.              create conflicts in     Retirees becoming dominant  Retiree's growth slowed,
                                                communities.  Ranching  group.                      but their integration
                                                community fading.                                   into the community is
                                                                                                    facilitated.

Southern Valley         Stabilizing trends      Same as No-Action       Few direct effects.         Major disruption of the
Communities             after changes and       Alternative.            Stabilization slowed by     community.  Large
                        conflicts of the past                           conflicts and hard times    population increase from
                        20 years.                                       spilling in from neigh-     people with very
                                                                        boring areas.               different lifestyles and
                                                                                                    values.  Major community
                                                                                                    conflicts.