FSH 1909.17 - ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL ANALYSIS HANDBOOK
                                                                8/85 WO


                                                         Sec. 38.4, Exhibit 2


WORKSHEET:  Social Effects Matrix    Alternative:  C   Outputs and significant practices:  Because of reduced expenditures in timber
                                     and roading activities, timber harvest is reduced by 10 percent during the first 3 decades.  Range
                                     and habitat improvements allow 25 percent increase in domestic AUM's and 10 percent increase in
                                     deer herd.  Large developed recreation site in Green Pine Valley south of Pineville will quadruple
                                     RVD's on the Green Pine Ranger District by 1995.

                                     C A T E G O R I E S  O F  S O C I A L  E F F E C T S                                              
                        Population Change and      Lifestyle, (Work, Leisure,   Attitudes, Beliefs,     Social Organization**
UNITS OF ANALYSIS       Land-Use Patterns*         Customs, etc.)**             and Values**            (Cohesion and Institutions)
======================  ===============================================================================================================
                        A slight slowing of popu-  Little change, except for    No changes, except for  No problems, except for growth-
County Seats            lation growth and land     some new emphasis on tourism new leisure & conspi-   related strains in Pineville.
(Government and         conversion except for the  industries in Pineville.     cious consumption
Service Industries)     resort-related growth in   "Flashier" ways of life
                        Pineville.                 appear there.
                                                                                                                                       

West Side Rural         Population decline, out-   Loss of jobs, younger rela-  Little changes, except  Cohesiveness of informal net-
(Forestry and Wood      migration of young         tives move away.  Greater    for increased strain    work increases, but government
Products)               families, no change in     importance of firewood,      on families from out-   and business feel the pinch of
                        land uses.                 fishing, and hunting.        migration.              the cutback.
                                                                                                                                       

                        Less conversion of ranch-  Little change; ranching      Oldtimers less threat-  Community less strongly
East Side Rural         land to residential use.   strengthened, woods work     ened, newcomers expect  divided.  Oldtimers more
(Forestry, Tourism,     Population growing, but    cut back.  Newcomers become  to be a smaller         accepting of increased
and Ranching)           at a slower rate.  Influx  more settled.                minority.  Slightly     services, while newcomers are
                        of newcomers slows.                                     less conflict.          less demanding.
                                                                                                                                       

                        Population growth 10%/yr   Many aspects of resort life  Oldtimers and newcomers Cohesion formed in opposition
Southern Valleys        during construction of     at odds with both newcomers' find common values and  to resort.  Large strain on
(New Rural Lifestyle,   the Green Pine resort.     and oldtimer's ways of life. attitudes as resort     infrastructure.  Lower quality
Farming, Crafts)        Reviewed conversion of     Wood stove use threatened    styles assert them-     of life for many, some advan-
                        farm and forest land.      and water quality down.      selves.  Resort people  tages to people statewide.
                                                   Seasonal unemployment        typically unaware of
                                                   reduced.                     their impact.