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Climate Change, Uncertainty and Forecasts of Global to Landscape Ecosystem Dynamics

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About The Presenter

Ronald P. Neilson, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Corvallis, OR, USA


About This Presentation

Running time: 40 minutes and 49 seconds.
Given: February 22, 2007, at the Forest Service Intermountain Regional Integrated Resource Workshop, Ogden, UT.
Production by: M.J. Furniss and J. Guntle, Communications and Applications, PNW and PSW Research Stations

Topics covered:

  • Climate Change, Uncertainty ...
  • Future Climate
  • Simulated Historical Vegetation
  • Simulated Annual Global Mean
  • Assessments of Future Climate
  • The Earth's Surface Temperature
  • The Low End of Some Models
  • The Uncertainties Are Often
  • Global Assessments
  • Uncertainties Are Often
  • LPJ DGVM Risk Analysis
  • Fire Increases Across the Western
  • What Will Happen to Timber?
  • New Simulated Vegetation Type
  • Can Species Keep Up With Climate
  • Future Climate Managing for Change
  • Where Is All the Excess Wood
  • Water-limited Carrying Capacity
  • Observed and Simulated Fire Area
  • Average Biomass Burned-Historical
  • Average Biomass Burned-Future
  • Sixteen Climate Scenarios
  • Water Resources
  • Current Vegetation (1961-1990)
  • Eastern Deciduous Forest
  • Future Woody and Grass Expansion
  • Community Diversity
  • Species Migration
  • Change With Uncertainty
  • San Francisco Peaks
  • Four Months Later
  • A California Assessment
  • Three Future Scenarios
  • Change in Annual Area Burned
  • Interdecadal Climate Variability
  • Glacier National Park
  • Management Toolbox
  • Management Implications
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