Global tree range shifts under forecasts from two alternative GCMs using two future scenarios.

About The Presenter

William Hargrove, US Forest Service - Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center

About This Presentation

Running time: 18 minutes and 43 seconds

This is part of a collection. See more from Climate Change – Impacts and Effects on Vegetation.

Topics covered:

• Global Tree Range Shifts Under Forecasts
• ForeCASTS Project
• A Global Analysis
• Variables
• MSTC Clustering to Delineate Global Ecoregions
• U.S. Present Conditions Within CONUS
• Global Present Conditions Within CONUS
• PCM Magnitude of Climate Change
• Hadley Magnitude of Climate Change
• Hadley Jumping Ecoregions
• Training for Suitability
• Tracking Suitability
• Assumptions
• No Species Specific Tuning
• Minimum Required Movement
• How Well Is It Working?
• Project Website Home Page
• Map Generation
• Species Atlas
• Home Range Shifts: Quercus rubra
• Present and Future Range Overlap: Quercus rubra
• MRM: Quercus rubra
• Home Range Shifts:Pinus taeda
• Home Range Shifts: Populus tremuloides
• Iverson and Prasad Model:Populus tremuloides
• Crookston and Rehfeld Model:Populus tremuloides
• Hargrove Model:Populus tremuloides
• Home Range Shifts: Pinus albicaulis
• Crookston and Rehfeld Model: Pinus albicaulis
• Suitable But Not Occupied?
• Niche Breadth Per Axis
• Slide32-Gradients Rank by Importance: Pinus albicaulis
• Species Ordered by Niche Breadth
• Species Ordered by Percent Range Change
• Species Ordered by Spatial Overlap With Future Range
• Species Ordered by Farthest MRM to Future Range
• Clustering Climate Change Risk Metrics
• Next Steps