Global Change Research Strategy
2009-2019 Synthesis
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- Continuing the development of economic models, and incorporate them into Integrated Assessment Models that simulate the complete system that begins with climate change, and follows carbon sequestration, ecosystem resilience, ecosystem services, forest/range products, and bio-fuels.
- Partnering scientists and communications experts together to provide user friendly information and access in a variety of formats.
- Continuing to improve decision-support tools for managing carbon according to the needs of different stakeholders, with specific enhancements involving more complete accounting for all factors that affect global warming potential.
- Continuing to seek opportunities to engage in cooperative research highlighting FS expertise with expertise of other federal and state researchers.
Near-Term Research Products
Decision support products expected during the next several years involve creation and modification of important resource management models to integrate climate change.
- We will downscale climate change model output to provide climate change scenarios for local applications, alone and by working with other agencies (e.g., NOAA) that are pursuing this goal.
- We will modify the widely-used planning model, FVS (Forest Vegetation Simulator) and other landscape models to include impacts of changing climate and atmospheric chemistry.
- We will modify or develop continental or regional-scale models that can assess climate change and impacts of other stressors and land-use or management, including feedbacks to the atmosphere and provision of user-friendly interfaces to models which currently lack them.
- We will work with emerging carbon markets and registries to ensure consistent and credible accounting rules and estimation guidelines, and provide access to decision-support tools that facilitate carbon management.
- We will support these efforts with a comprehensive effort to consolidate existing data sets, to reformat data into common data structures, and to share these formats and data sets with researchers in other federal and state agencies. In so doing, the FS will cooperate with other federal and state researchers to form a comprehensive program investigating climate change in the nation's lands.
4. Shared Research Needs: Infrastructure, Scientific Collaboration, Technology Transfer
Corporate Strategies for Addressing Climate Change
The adaptation, mitigation and decision support research required to generate the science and applications is best considered within each research element described above. However, certain infrastructure, personnel, and technology transfer needs sustain all three research elements, and require a coordinated national effort within the FS. This section describes the infrastructure, scientific collaboration, science delivery and funding needs to support the above described research elements.
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